NHL over/under picks today
The total goals line for every NHL game in the next week, then the KHL and Europe’s top leagues: over or under, and how likely it is. Overtime counts, and a shootout counts as one goal for its winner.
The highest projected total this week is 7 goals, in Tolzer Lowen vs HC Tigers; the lowest is 3 goals, in Tractor Chelyabinsk vs Bars Kazan. By competition, Oberliga Nord projects the most goals (7 per game) and KHL the fewest (4).
- Tractor Chelyabinsk vs Bars KazanProjected total: 3 goals · line 4.5Model backs Over 4.5 · fair odds 1.9352%
- Yekaterinburg vs CSKA MoscowProjected total: 5 goals · line 4.5Model backs Over 4.5 · fair odds 1.6162%
- Lada vs ShanghaiProjected total: 5 goals · line 5.5Model backs Under 5.5 · fair odds 1.6361%
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs Dynamo MoscowProjected total: 3 goals · line 4.5Model backs Over 4.5 · fair odds 1.8454%
- Spartak Moscow vs CherepovetsProjected total: 3 goals · line 4.5Model backs Over 4.5 · fair odds 1.8754%
- Jukurit vs IlvesProjected total: 5 goals · line 4.5Model backs Over 4.5 · fair odds 1.6959%
- Karpat vs KalPaProjected total: 5 goals · line 5.5Model backs Under 5.5 · fair odds 1.7059%
- Lukko vs TPS TurkuProjected total: 5 goals · line 5.5Model backs Under 5.5 · fair odds 1.6561%
- Vaasan Sport vs SaiPaProjected total: 3 goals · line 5.5Model backs Under 5.5 · fair odds 1.5963%
- Kiekko-Espoo vs IFK HelsinkiProjected total: 5 goals · line 5.5Model backs Under 5.5 · fair odds 1.7756%
- Trinec vs Ceske BudejoviceProjected total: 5 goals · line 5.5Model backs Over 5.5 · fair odds 1.9950%
- Litvinov vs PlzenProjected total: 5 goals · line 4.5Model backs Over 4.5 · fair odds 1.6561%
- Vitkovice vs Kometa BrnoProjected total: 5 goals · line 5.5Model backs Under 5.5 · fair odds 1.8155%
- Kladno vs PardubiceProjected total: 5 goals · line 5.5Model backs Over 5.5 · fair odds 1.9851%
- Liberec vs Sparta PragueProjected total: 5 goals · line 5.5Model backs Under 5.5 · fair odds 1.8355%
- Mountfield HK vs Karlovy VaryProjected total: 5 goals · line 4.5Model backs Over 4.5 · fair odds 1.6262%
- Rapperswil-Jona vs Ambri-PiottaProjected total: 5 goals · line 6.5Model backs Under 6.5 · fair odds 1.7956%
- Zurich vs Langnau TigersProjected total: 5 goals · line 5.5Model backs Over 5.5 · fair odds 1.8554%
- Zug vs LausanneProjected total: 5 goals · line 5.5Model backs Over 5.5 · fair odds 1.9352%
- Ajoie vs ServetteProjected total: 5 goals · line 5.5Model backs Over 5.5 · fair odds 1.8754%
- Lugano vs EHC KlotenProjected total: 5 goals · line 5.5Model backs Over 5.5 · fair odds 1.8753%
- Fribourg vs BielProjected total: 5 goals · line 6.5Model backs Under 6.5 · fair odds 1.8753%
- Davos vs BernProjected total: 5 goals · line 5.5Model backs Under 5.5 · fair odds 1.8255%
- Adler Mannheim vs Frankfurt LowenProjected total: 5 goals · line 5.5Model backs Over 5.5 · fair odds 1.9851%
- Eisbaren Berlin vs Augsburger PantherProjected total: 5 goals · line 6.5Model backs Under 6.5 · fair odds 1.8056%
- Grizzly Wolfsburg vs ERC IngolstadtProjected total: 5 goals · line 6.5Model backs Under 6.5 · fair odds 1.8055%
- Munchen vs Iserlohn RoostersProjected total: 5 goals · line 6.5Model backs Under 6.5 · fair odds 1.8654%
- Nurnberg Ice Tigers vs Krefeld PinguineProjected total: 5 goals · line 5.5Model backs Over 5.5 · fair odds 1.9950%
- Schwenninger vs BremerhavenProjected total: 5 goals · line 5.5Model backs Under 5.5 · fair odds 1.8454%
- Straubing Tigers vs KolnerProjected total: 5 goals · line 6.5Model backs Under 6.5 · fair odds 1.9651%
- Syracuse Crunch vs Rochester AmericansProjected total: 5 goals · line 5.5Model backs Over 5.5 · fair odds 1.8853%
- Charlotte Checkers vs Springfield ThunderbirdsProjected total: 5 goals · line 5.5Model backs Under 5.5 · fair odds 1.8454%
- Hartford Wolf Pack vs Providence BruinsProjected total: 5 goals · line 5.5Model backs Under 5.5 · fair odds 1.8654%
- Grand Rapids Griffins vs Cleveland MonstersProjected total: 5 goals · line 5.5Model backs Over 5.5 · fair odds 1.8554%
- Laval Rocket vs Hamilton HammersProjected total: 5 goals · line 6.5Model backs Under 6.5 · fair odds 1.8754%
- MODO vs AIKProjected total: 5 goals · line 5.5Model backs Under 5.5 · fair odds 1.9053%
- Almtuna vs VimmerbyProjected total: 5 goals · line 5.5Model backs Over 5.5 · fair odds 1.9950%
- Nybro vs SödertäljeProjected total: 5 goals · line 5.5Model backs Under 5.5 · fair odds 1.8355%
- Oskarshamn vs MoraProjected total: 5 goals · line 5.5Model backs Under 5.5 · fair odds 1.9751%
- Ostersund vs VasterasProjected total: 5 goals · line 5.5Model backs Under 5.5 · fair odds 1.7756%
- BIK Karlskoga vs Visby/RomaProjected total: 5 goals · line 5.5Model backs Over 5.5 · fair odds 1.9651%
- Kalmar vs LeksandProjected total: 5 goals · line 5.5Model backs Over 5.5 · fair odds 1.7856%
- Graz99ers vs Black Wings LinzProjected total: 5 goals · line 5.5Model backs Over 5.5 · fair odds 1.9451%
- HK Olimpija vs Fehervar AV19Projected total: 5 goals · line 5.5Model backs Over 5.5 · fair odds 1.8454%
- TWK Innsbruck vs SalzburgProjected total: 5 goals · line 6.5Model backs Under 6.5 · fair odds 1.8454%
- Vorarlberg vs BolzanoProjected total: 5 goals · line 6.5Model backs Under 6.5 · fair odds 1.8953%
- Milano vs KlagenfurtProjected total: 5 goals · line 5.5Model backs Over 5.5 · fair odds 1.7757%
- Michalovce vs Slovan BratislavaProjected total: 5 goals · line 5.5Model backs Over 5.5 · fair odds 1.9950%
- Zilina vs Spisska Nova VesProjected total: 5 goals · line 5.5Model backs Under 5.5 · fair odds 1.7557%
- Poprad vs PresovProjected total: 5 goals · line 6.5Model backs Under 6.5 · fair odds 1.7956%
- Ban. Bystrica vs Dukla TrencinProjected total: 5 goals · line 5.5Model backs Under 5.5 · fair odds 1.9751%
- Liptovsky Mikulas vs ZvolenProjected total: 5 goals · line 5.5Model backs Over 5.5 · fair odds 1.9551%
- Nitra vs KosiceProjected total: 5 goals · line 5.5Model backs Under 5.5 · fair odds 1.7856%
- Esbjerg vs Herning Blue FoxProjected total: 5 goals · line 6.5Model backs Under 6.5 · fair odds 1.9252%
- Odense Bulldogs vs Sonderjyske IshockeyProjected total: 5 goals · line 5.5Model backs Under 5.5 · fair odds 1.8853%
- Frederikshavn vs RungstedProjected total: 5 goals · line 6.5Model backs Under 6.5 · fair odds 1.8355%
- Rodovre Mighty Bulls vs HerlevProjected total: 5 goals · line 6.5Model backs Under 6.5 · fair odds 1.7059%
- Bad Nauheim vs LandshutProjected total: 5 goals · line 5.5Model backs Over 5.5 · fair odds 1.8853%
- Bietigheim/Bissingen vs RavensburgProjected total: 5 goals · line 6.5Model backs Under 6.5 · fair odds 1.9651%
- Dresdner Eislowen vs Starbulls RosenheimProjected total: 5 goals · line 5.5Model backs Over 5.5 · fair odds 1.8255%
- Kassel vs WeidenProjected total: 5 goals · line 5.5Model backs Over 5.5 · fair odds 1.8454%
- Lausitzer Fuchse vs FreiburgProjected total: 5 goals · line 5.5Model backs Under 5.5 · fair odds 1.9252%
- Memmingen vs CrimmitschauProjected total: 5 goals · line 5.5Model backs Over 5.5 · fair odds 1.9352%
- Regensburg vs DusseldorfProjected total: 5 goals · line 5.5Model backs Over 5.5 · fair odds 1.8754%
- Hermes vs RoKiProjected total: 5 goals · line 6.5Model backs Under 6.5 · fair odds 1.7358%
- IPK vs Kiekko-PojatProjected total: 5 goals · line 6.5Model backs Under 6.5 · fair odds 1.8055%
- TUTO vs KetteraProjected total: 5 goals · line 5.5Model backs Under 5.5 · fair odds 1.7956%
- Stuttgart vs HeilbronnerProjected total: 5 goals · line 6.5Model backs Over 6.5 · fair odds 1.9751%
- Tolzer Lowen vs HC TigersProjected total: 7 goals · line 6.5Model backs Over 6.5 · fair odds 1.6959%
- Riessersee vs PeitingProjected total: 7 goals · line 6.5Model backs Over 6.5 · fair odds 1.6959%
- Passau vs DeggendorfProjected total: 7 goals · line 6.5Model backs Over 6.5 · fair odds 1.7856%
- Fussen vs KaufbeurenProjected total: 5 goals · line 5.5Model backs Over 5.5 · fair odds 1.9352%
- Erding vs LindauProjected total: 7 goals · line 7.5Model backs Under 7.5 · fair odds 1.7059%
- Hochstadt vs Selber WolfeProjected total: 7 goals · line 6.5Model backs Over 6.5 · fair odds 1.8554%
- Hannover Scorpions vs Hammer EisbarenProjected total: 7 goals · line 6.5Model backs Over 6.5 · fair odds 1.6859%
- Leipzig vs HalleProjected total: 7 goals · line 7.5Model backs Under 7.5 · fair odds 1.6959%
- Neuwied vs HernerProjected total: 7 goals · line 6.5Model backs Over 6.5 · fair odds 1.7158%
- Rostock vs Fuchse DuisburgProjected total: 7 goals · line 7.5Model backs Under 7.5 · fair odds 1.7856%
- Tilburg Trappers vs ErfurtProjected total: 7 goals · line 7.5Model backs Under 7.5 · fair odds 1.7856%
- Herford vs EC HannoverProjected total: 5 goals · line 6.5Model backs Over 6.5 · fair odds 1.8654%
Over/under: questions
- What does over/under mean in hockey?
- The bookmaker sets a line for the goals both teams score together, usually 5.5 or 6.5. Over means the game finishes with more goals than the line, under with fewer. Overtime counts, and a shootout counts as one goal for the team that wins it.
- How is the projected total worked out?
- From each team's attack and defence ratings for this season, weighted toward recent form and adjusted for the opponents faced, turned into the chance of every score by a Poisson model. Where bookmakers price the game, the projection is blended with their line.
- Why can the model's total differ from the bookmakers' line?
- The bookmakers' line also reflects where the money is going and who starts in goal. The model only looks at the teams, so when the two disagree by half a goal or more, that gap is the reason to look at the game more closely.
- What does the percentage next to the pick mean?
- It is how often the model expects that side to land: 60% means a game like this goes that way about six times in ten. Under 55% is close to a coin flip.
- Are these picks free?
- Yes. Every line on this page is free to read, with no sign-up.