Slovak Extraliga

Liptovsky Mikulas vs Zvolen prediction

Liptovsky Mikulas6–5–1 · Home Zvolen4–7–1 · Away04:00 PM UTCOct 23

61%win chance incl. overtime39%

Our pick

61%LIP61%LIP

Liptovsky Mikulas to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.64 · projected 3–2

Liptovsky Mikulas are the pick at home against Zvolen, with a 61% chance to win including overtime and a projected 3–2 score.

After 60 minutes

LIPLiptovsky Mikulas in 60'

50%

Tied → OTTied → OT

21%

ZVOZvolen in 60'

30%

Game flow

LIP 3.2 · ZVO 2.4 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 0.9–0.6

P2 · 1.1–1.0

P3 · 1.2–0.8

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Liptovsky Mikulas61%1.64
Regulation result (60 minutes)Liptovsky Mikulas50%2.02
Puck lineZvolen +1.564%1.57
Total goalsOver 5.551%1.95
Both teams to scoreYes87%1.15

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Liptovsky Mikulas

61%fair 1.64

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Liptovsky Mikulas

50%fair 2.02

Puck line

Zvolen +1.5

64%fair 1.57

Total goals

Over 5.5

51%fair 1.95

Both teams to score

Yes

87%fair 1.15

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

J. KolenicZVO · 7 G in 12 GP · 12 GP7533%3.02
M. VojtechLIP · 5 G in 10 GP · 10 GP5630%3.32
J. JaworskiLIP · 5 G in 12 GP · 12 GP5126%3.91
A. NausZVO · 5 G in 12 GP · 12 GP5225%4.00
B. CoeLIP · 4 G in 12 GP · 12 GP4524%4.21
M. MacekZVO · 2 G in 5 GP · 5 GP2320%4.95
M. FerkodicLIP · 2 G in 7 GP · 7 GP2219%5.17
S. AcolatseLIP · 3 G in 12 GP · 12 GP3119%5.38
J. ValachZVO · 3 G in 12 GP · 12 GP3015%6.47
D. TkacZVO · 3 G in 12 GP · 12 GP3215%6.47

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Who will win Liptovsky Mikulas vs Zvolen?

Liptovsky Mikulas are the pick at home against Zvolen, with a 61% chance to win including overtime and a projected 3–2 score.

Liptovsky Mikulas and Zvolen arrive in similar form, each having won 1 of their last 5, but the numbers behind those records differ. Liptovsky Mikulas have scored 2.2 and allowed 4.0 goals a game over that stretch, while Zvolen have scored 1.6 and allowed 3.2. Neither side is carrying momentum into this one, which puts more weight on the table and the ratings.

The table separates them: Liptovsky Mikulas sit 6th and Zvolen 11th. Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Liptovsky Mikulas rate −0.04 and Zvolen −0.44 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.39 goals to Liptovsky Mikulas. Add home ice, worth about 0.40 goals a game in this league, and the home side's case grows without needing a strong run of form.

The head-to-head is the one note against Liptovsky Mikulas: the teams have met 1 time recently, and that game finished Zvolen 4–1 Liptovsky Mikulas on 2026-09-18. The model still splits regulation into 50% for Liptovsky Mikulas and a 21% chance of a tie after three periods, with a tie going to overtime and, if needed, a shootout. The market reads it the same way, pricing Liptovsky Mikulas at 60% on the moneyline across 9 bookmakers once the margin is removed.

The projected score of 3–2 reflects a game that is close but tilted toward the home side. Liptovsky Mikulas get the nod because their adjusted rating is stronger and because home ice is a real factor in this league, while Zvolen's case rests on the recent head-to-head result and a defence that has conceded less than Liptovsky Mikulas' over the last 5.

The projected 3–2 score leaves Liptovsky Mikulas −1.5 on the puck line coming in 36% of the time on our numbers, so a one-goal margin is the likelier outcome than a cover. The projected 5.8 goals sit just above the 5.5 line, and the over lands 51%, making the total a near coin flip rather than a clear lean.

Liptovsky Mikulas to win, overtime and shootout included (61%), with a projected score of 3–2.