Anytime goal · overtime included
NHL Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions Today
Who scores tonight in the NHL: the five most likely goal scorers of each team for every game in the next 36 hours, with the chance that each one scores at least once and the fair odds of that bet. The chances come from every goal sheet of the season and the goals our model expects from each team; they are graded after every game.
Best goal scorer chances tonight
PlayerGoalsChanceFair odds
- Leon DraisaitlEdmonton Oilers vs Toronto Maple Leafs · 10 goals in 10 games · 12 pts last 51043%2.31
- Connor McDavidEdmonton Oilers vs Toronto Maple Leafs · 8 goals in 10 games · 18 pts last 5837%2.70
- Artturi LehkonenColorado Avalanche vs Tampa Bay Lightning · 8 goals in 10 games · 7 pts last 5837%2.72
- A. LafreniereNew York Rangers vs Ottawa Senators · 8 goals in 9 games · 6 pts last 5836%2.80
- Matvei MichkovPhiladelphia Flyers vs Anaheim Ducks · 6 goals in 10 games · 5 pts last 5635%2.83
- Brandon HagelTampa Bay Lightning vs Colorado Avalanche · 7 goals in 8 games · 8 pts last 5735%2.89
- Artemi PanarinLos Angeles Kings vs New Jersey Devils · 6 goals in 8 games · 6 pts last 5634%2.90
- Cole CaufieldMontreal Canadiens vs Chicago Blackhawks · 6 goals in 9 games · 6 pts last 5634%2.97
- Mark StoneVegas Golden Knights vs Columbus Blue Jackets · 8 goals in 12 games · 8 pts last 5834%2.97
- Auston MatthewsToronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers · 8 goals in 10 games · 5 pts last 5833%3.04
Chicago Blackhawks vs Montreal Canadiens
PlayerGoalsChanceFair odds
- Cole Caufield6 goals in 9 games · 6 pts last 5634%2.97
- Nick Suzuki5 goals in 8 games · 5 pts last 5530%3.33
- Roman Kantserov3 goals in 6 games · 3 pts last 5326%3.90
- Josh Anderson4 goals in 9 games · 3 pts last 5425%3.98
- Zachary Bolduc4 goals in 9 games · 3 pts last 5424%4.17
- Frank Nazar3 goals in 8 games · 2 pts last 5324%4.21
- Teuvo Teravainen2 goals in 7 games · 3 pts last 5219%5.19
- Juraj Slafkovský2 goals in 7 games · 6 pts last 5219%5.37
- Ryan Donato2 goals in 8 games · 2 pts last 5219%5.38
- Tyler Bertuzzi2 goals in 7 games · 3 pts last 5218%5.46
Colorado Avalanche vs Tampa Bay Lightning
PlayerGoalsChanceFair odds
- Artturi Lehkonen8 goals in 10 games · 7 pts last 5837%2.72
- Brandon Hagel7 goals in 8 games · 8 pts last 5735%2.89
- Nathan MacKinnon6 goals in 10 games · 6 pts last 5628%3.53
- Martin Necas5 goals in 10 games · 6 pts last 5526%3.87
- Nikita Kucherov4 goals in 9 games · 7 pts last 5424%4.20
- Gabriel Landeskog4 goals in 10 games · 3 pts last 5423%4.29
- Jake Guentzel4 goals in 8 games · 5 pts last 5423%4.37
- Anthony Cirelli3 goals in 7 games · 4 pts last 5321%4.73
- John Carlson3 goals in 8 games · 1 pts last 5319%5.17
- Brock Nelson3 goals in 10 games · 3 pts last 5318%5.55
Philadelphia Flyers vs Anaheim Ducks
PlayerGoalsChanceFair odds
- Matvei Michkov6 goals in 10 games · 5 pts last 5635%2.83
- Beckett Sennecke5 goals in 10 games · 2 pts last 5525%4.02
- Trevor Zegras3 goals in 11 games · 6 pts last 5323%4.36
- Tim Washe3 goals in 10 games · 2 pts last 5319%5.15
- Frank Vatrano2 goals in 6 games · 2 pts last 5219%5.32
- Cutter Gauthier3 goals in 10 games · 2 pts last 5318%5.56
- Porter Martone2 goals in 12 games · 1 pts last 5217%5.90
- Christian Dvorak2 goals in 11 games · 2 pts last 5217%5.99
- Nikita Nesterenko2 goals in 10 games · 1 pts last 5214%7.11
- Noel Acciari1 goals in 11 games · 1 pts last 5113%7.86
New Jersey Devils vs Los Angeles Kings
PlayerGoalsChanceFair odds
- Artemi Panarin6 goals in 8 games · 6 pts last 5634%2.90
- Arseny Gritsyuk5 goals in 7 games · 5 pts last 5531%3.20
- Nico Hischier5 goals in 7 games · 4 pts last 5530%3.36
- Adrian Kempe3 goals in 8 games · 5 pts last 5322%4.56
- Jesper Boqvist3 goals in 8 games · 2 pts last 5320%5.01
- Jack Hughes3 goals in 10 games · 6 pts last 5320%5.11
- Luke Evangelista3 goals in 10 games · 2 pts last 5319%5.23
- Brandt Clarke2 goals in 8 games · 5 pts last 5218%5.68
- Alex Laferriere2 goals in 8 games · 4 pts last 5217%6.00
- Scott Laughton1 goals in 5 games · 2 pts last 5115%6.89
Boston Bruins vs San Jose Sharks
PlayerGoalsChanceFair odds
- David Pastrnak6 goals in 10 games · 9 pts last 5632%3.12
- Matthew Poitras4 goals in 8 games · 5 pts last 5425%4.01
- Elias Lindholm4 goals in 11 games · 4 pts last 5423%4.32
- Macklin Celebrini5 goals in 11 games · 6 pts last 5523%4.33
- JJ Peterka4 goals in 11 games · 3 pts last 5422%4.53
- Fraser Minten4 goals in 11 games · 3 pts last 5422%4.64
- Tyler Toffoli4 goals in 10 games · 4 pts last 5420%4.97
- Ivar Stenberg3 goals in 10 games · 3 pts last 5317%5.78
- Mason Marchment3 goals in 11 games · 2 pts last 5315%6.53
- Will Smith3 goals in 11 games · 2 pts last 5314%7.08
Columbus Blue Jackets vs Vegas Golden Knights
PlayerGoalsChanceFair odds
- Mark Stone8 goals in 12 games · 8 pts last 5834%2.97
- Kent Johnson4 goals in 8 games · 3 pts last 5428%3.63
- Brett Howden5 goals in 11 games · 5 pts last 5526%3.78
- Jack Eichel5 goals in 12 games · 7 pts last 5524%4.18
- Cole Sillinger3 goals in 8 games · 2 pts last 5322%4.48
- Trevor Connelly4 goals in 12 games · 2 pts last 5420%4.97
- Tomas Hertl4 goals in 11 games · 1 pts last 5420%5.03
- Adam Fantilli2 goals in 8 games · 2 pts last 5218%5.58
- Mathieu Olivier2 goals in 8 games · 0 pts last 5217%5.90
- Matthew Knies2 goals in 8 games · 0 pts last 5217%6.05
Edmonton Oilers vs Toronto Maple Leafs
PlayerGoalsChanceFair odds
- Leon Draisaitl10 goals in 10 games · 12 pts last 51043%2.31
- Connor McDavid8 goals in 10 games · 18 pts last 5837%2.70
- Auston Matthews8 goals in 10 games · 5 pts last 5833%3.04
- Vasily Podkolzin7 goals in 10 games · 5 pts last 5731%3.25
- Evan Bouchard7 goals in 10 games · 6 pts last 5730%3.29
- Kirill Marchenko6 goals in 12 games · 6 pts last 5627%3.67
- William Nylander6 goals in 12 games · 3 pts last 5624%4.11
- Easton Cowan5 goals in 12 games · 6 pts last 5523%4.32
- Jack Roslovic4 goals in 10 games · 5 pts last 5420%4.95
- Kasperi Kapanen3 goals in 10 games · 1 pts last 5318%5.56
Ottawa Senators vs New York Rangers
PlayerGoalsChanceFair odds
- A. Lafreniere8 goals in 9 games · 6 pts last 5836%2.80
- Tim Stützle7 goals in 11 games · 5 pts last 5732%3.11
- O. Bjorkstrand5 goals in 11 games · 3 pts last 5526%3.92
- Drake Batherson4 goals in 10 games · 4 pts last 5422%4.54
- G. Perreault4 goals in 11 games · 1 pts last 5420%4.99
- T. Kartye3 goals in 10 games · 4 pts last 5319%5.29
- Stephen Halliday3 goals in 11 games · 3 pts last 5318%5.50
- M. Zibanejad3 goals in 11 games · 4 pts last 5317%5.77
- Claude Giroux2 goals in 11 games · 3 pts last 5215%6.55
- Shane Pinto2 goals in 11 games · 2 pts last 5215%6.64
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Nashville Predators
PlayerGoalsChanceFair odds
- E. Malkin6 goals in 11 games · 4 pts last 5630%3.29
- N. Robertson6 goals in 11 games · 3 pts last 5630%3.30
- A. Edstrom4 goals in 6 games · 2 pts last 5429%3.49
- R. O'Reilly4 goals in 8 games · 4 pts last 5427%3.74
- S. Stamkos4 goals in 9 games · 4 pts last 5424%4.09
- B. Rust3 goals in 8 games · 3 pts last 5323%4.44
- S. Crosby3 goals in 11 games · 4 pts last 5320%5.02
- N. Hoglander3 goals in 8 games · 0 pts last 5320%5.02
- D. Carlile3 goals in 11 games · 1 pts last 5319%5.39
- A. Kerfoot1 goals in 6 games · 1 pts last 5113%7.80
St. Louis Blues vs Carolina Hurricanes
PlayerGoalsChanceFair odds
- J. Snuggerud6 goals in 10 games · 4 pts last 5631%3.26
- M. McTavish6 goals in 10 games · 6 pts last 5630%3.35
- L. Stankoven7 goals in 11 games · 5 pts last 5729%3.40
- S. Aho7 goals in 12 games · 5 pts last 5727%3.64
- M. Jankowski6 goals in 9 games · 2 pts last 5627%3.76
- A. Svechnikov6 goals in 12 games · 3 pts last 5625%3.97
- D. Holloway3 goals in 6 games · 7 pts last 5323%4.34
- J. Neighbours3 goals in 10 games · 4 pts last 5319%5.35
- N. Ehlers3 goals in 10 games · 7 pts last 5318%5.52
- P. Suter3 goals in 10 games · 4 pts last 5318%5.55
Washington Capitals vs Buffalo Sabres
PlayerGoalsChanceFair odds
- A. Tuch5 goals in 9 games · 4 pts last 5529%3.40
- B. Jenner4 goals in 8 games · 3 pts last 5428%3.51
- R. Leonard4 goals in 9 games · 5 pts last 5427%3.77
- J. Quinn5 goals in 10 games · 7 pts last 5526%3.83
- T. Thompson5 goals in 10 games · 4 pts last 5526%3.91
- J. Kyrou2 goals in 7 games · 5 pts last 5219%5.29
- O. Zellweger2 goals in 6 games · 3 pts last 5217%5.80
- C. Hutson2 goals in 9 games · 3 pts last 5217%5.82
- J. Norris2 goals in 9 games · 2 pts last 5216%6.26
- O. Power2 goals in 10 games · 3 pts last 5214%6.93
Questions
- How are the anytime goal scorer chances worked out?
- Each skater's share of his team's goals this season, recent games counting more and pulled toward a small average share until he has played enough, times the number of goals our model expects his team to score in this game. A player expected to score 0.45 goals has about a 36% chance to score at least once.
- Do the picks count overtime and the shootout?
- Overtime goals count, as they do for anytime goal scorer bets. A shootout goal is not a goal for this market, so the deciding shootout goal is left out of the team totals the chances are built on.
- What are fair odds?
- The decimal price a bet would have with no bookmaker margin: one divided by the chance. A price above it is value, a price below it is not.
- Why is a player missing, or listed when he does not play?
- A player needs five games for his team before he is listed, and a player with no point or penalty in his team’s last ten games is taken as out. There is no lineup or injury feed: a scratched player keeps his row and is graded as a miss.
- How accurate is it?
- Tested walk-forward on the last two NHL seasons (about 11,800 players priced each), the chances matched what happened: players we gave 25–30% scored 26–28% of the time, and our log loss beat a flat rate in both seasons. The live record of the last 30 days is on this page.
More: NHL picks today · NHL top scorers · How the model works