Switzerland2026 seasonNational League predictions
- Games played
- 92/364
- Teams
- 14
- Home wins
- 55%
- Avg goals
- 6
Today, Friday, October 23 — National League: 7 games
The strongest pick is Lugano against EHC Kloten: 70% to win, with a projected 3–2. The closest call is Rapperswil-Jona vs Ambri-Piotta, 51% for Rapperswil-Jona and a projected 3–2. The highest projected total is 5 goals, in Rapperswil-Jona vs Ambri-Piotta.
Every game below has a win probability (overtime and shootout included), a projected score and lines for the puck line and total goals; where bookmakers price a game, the pick leans toward their consensus. Over the 2023–24 season the model called 60% of National League winners (408 games), against 58% for always backing the home team.
Next games
- Rapperswil-Jona3Ambri-Piotta2Rapperswil-Jona51%Toss-upToss-up
Close to a coin flip: Rapperswil-Jona edge it at 51%, projected 3–2. Market odds for the pick: 1.80.
- Zurich3Langnau Tigers2Zurich69%StrongStrong
Strong pick: Zurich at 69%, projected 3–2, a 1-goal margin. Market odds for the pick: 1.27.
- Zug3Lausanne2Zug56%Toss-upToss-up
Close to a coin flip: Zug edge it at 56%, projected 3–2. Market odds for the pick: 1.70.
- Ajoie2Servette3Servette55%Toss-upToss-up
Close to a coin flip: Servette edge it at 55%, projected 2–3. Market odds for the pick: 1.62.
- Lugano3EHC Kloten2Lugano70%StrongStrong
Strong pick: Lugano at 70%, projected 3–2, a 1-goal margin. Market odds for the pick: 1.29.
- Fribourg3Biel2Fribourg69%StrongStrong
Strong pick: Fribourg at 69%, projected 3–2, a 1-goal margin. Market odds for the pick: 1.28.
- Davos3Bern2Davos58%LeanLean
Lean: Davos at 58%, projected 3–2. Market odds for the pick: 1.53.
- Biel2Zug3Zug55%Toss-upToss-up
Close to a coin flip: Zug edge it at 55%, projected 2–3.
- EHC Kloten2Rapperswil-Jona3Rapperswil-Jona53%Toss-upToss-up
Close to a coin flip: Rapperswil-Jona edge it at 53%, projected 2–3. Market odds for the pick: 1.68.
- Langnau Tigers2Davos3Davos57%Toss-upToss-up
Close to a coin flip: Davos edge it at 57%, projected 2–3. Market odds for the pick: 1.50.
- Lausanne2Fribourg3Fribourg53%Toss-upToss-up
Close to a coin flip: Fribourg edge it at 53%, projected 2–3. Market odds for the pick: 1.77.
- Ambri-Piotta3Ajoie2Ambri-Piotta61%LeanLean
Lean: Ambri-Piotta at 61%, projected 3–2. Market odds for the pick: 1.50.
- Bern3Lugano2Bern55%Toss-upToss-up
Close to a coin flip: Bern edge it at 55%, projected 3–2.
- Servette2Zurich3Zurich55%Toss-upToss-up
Close to a coin flip: Zurich edge it at 55%, projected 2–3.
Recent results
How the National League season works
The National League is Switzerland's top league: fourteen clubs play 52 rounds from September to March. A regulation win is worth three points, a win after overtime or a shootout two, and a loss after overtime or a shootout one.
The top six go straight to the quarter-finals, seventh to tenth play a play-in for the last two places, and the playoffs are best of seven.
Using the National League picks
Each game shows the moneyline (overtime and shootout included), the regulation result with the draw, a puck line and a total. Home teams win more often in the National League than in most leagues we cover, and the model measures that edge for the league. Ratings come from this season's results, blended with the betting market where bookmakers price the game.
Our National League record
Before launch the model was tested on the 2023–24 National League season, predicting each game only from the games before it, against always backing the home team and the team with the better points record. The test and the live record are on the accuracy page.
National League predictions: questions
- How many points is a win worth in the National League?
- Three for a win in regulation, two for a win after overtime or a shootout, one for a loss after overtime or a shootout.
- Are National League predictions free?
- Yes. The win probability and projected score of every National League game are free to read, with no sign-up.
- When are National League predictions published?
- Up to three days before the face-off, and they update until the game starts.
- How accurate are the National League predictions?
- The model was tested on the whole 2023–24 season, predicting each game only from the games before it: it called 60% of National League winners in 408 games, against 58% for always backing the home team. Every new pick is settled in public on the accuracy page.
- How many goals are scored in National League games?
- Finished National League games this season have averaged 6 goals in total, and the home team has won 55% of them. Each game's own projected total is on its prediction page.
- When are National League predictions published?
- Up to 3 days before the face-off. Each prediction is updated as the betting market moves, until the game starts.
- What do the puck line and the total mean?
- The puck line is hockey's handicap: −1.5 means the favourite has to win by two goals or more, +1.5 that the underdog covers if it wins or loses by one. A win after overtime or a shootout is always by one goal. The total is the number of goals both teams score together, overtime included and a shootout counted as one goal; the over/under pick says whether the game should finish above or below the line.
- Are the National League predictions free?
- Yes. The win probability, projected score, puck line and total goals of every National League game are free to read, with no sign-up.
- How are the predictions made?
- Each team gets attack and defence ratings from this season's games in regulation, weighted toward recent form and adjusted for the opponents faced, plus a home-ice edge measured for each league. A Poisson model turns them into the chance of every score, ties go to overtime and the shootout, and where bookmakers price a game the model is blended with their consensus.