P3 · 18'

Genève-Servette vs ZSC Lions prediction

Genève-Servette8–5–2 · Home ZSC Lions13–1–0 · Away1–4P3 · 18'

35%win chance incl. overtime65%

Live · updates automatically

Our pick

65%ZSC65%ZSC

ZSC Lions to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.54 · projected 2–3

The numbers side with ZSC Lions (65%) on the road against Genève-Servette, with 3–2 the most likely final score.

After 60 minutes

GENGenève-Servette in 60'

27%

Tied → OTTied → OT

20%

ZSCZSC Lions in 60'

53%

Game flow

GEN 2.8 · ZSC 3.1 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 0.6–1.3

P2 · 0.9–0.8

P3 · 1.3–1.0

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)ZSC Lions65%1.54
Regulation result (60 minutes)ZSC Lions53%1.87
Puck lineGenève-Servette +1.561%1.65
Total goalsOver 5.553%1.88
Both teams to scoreYes87%1.15

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

ZSC Lions

65%fair 1.54

Regulation result (60 minutes)

ZSC Lions

53%fair 1.87

Puck line

Genève-Servette +1.5

61%fair 1.65

Total goals

Over 5.5

53%fair 1.88

Both teams to score

Yes

87%fair 1.15

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

S. KnakZSC · 10 G in 14 GP · 14 GP10432%3.10
T. BozonGEN · 4 G in 9 GP · 9 GP4624%4.09
J. PuljujarviGEN · 6 G in 15 GP · 15 GP6221%4.71
D. MalginZSC · 5 G in 14 GP · 14 GP5621%4.83
S. ManninenGEN · 5 G in 15 GP · 15 GP5020%5.03
C. BaltisbergerZSC · 4 G in 11 GP · 11 GP4319%5.41
J. FrodenZSC · 4 G in 14 GP · 14 GP4318%5.50
J. JoorisGEN · 3 G in 12 GP · 12 GP3217%5.76
M. LehtonenZSC · 3 G in 14 GP · 14 GP3616%6.13
D. SutterGEN · 2 G in 8 GP · 8 GP2016%6.42

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Who will win Genève-Servette vs ZSC Lions?

The numbers side with ZSC Lions (65%) on the road against Genève-Servette, with 3–2 the most likely final score.

Genève-Servette have won 2 of their last 5, scoring 2.4 and allowing 4.0 goals a game over that stretch. ZSC Lions have won 4 of their last 5, scoring 4.2 and allowing 2.6 goals a game over that stretch.

Genève-Servette sit 3rd, while ZSC Lions sit 1st.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Genève-Servette rate −0.16 and ZSC Lions +0.53 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.69 goals to ZSC Lions. Home ice is worth about 0.35 goals a game in this league.

In regulation the model gives ZSC Lions 53% to win inside 60 minutes and puts the chance of a tie after three periods at 20%; a tie goes to overtime and, if needed, a shootout.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Genève-Servette 0, ZSC Lions 1); the latest finished ZSC Lions 3–0 Genève-Servette on 2026-09-19.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices ZSC Lions at 69% on the moneyline across 9 bookmakers.

Against the market lines, ZSC Lions −1.5 on the puck line comes in 39% of the time on our numbers, and the over 5.5 goals lands 53% against a projected 6.1 goals.

ZSC Lions to win, overtime and shootout included (65%). Projected score: 3–2.