Slovak Extraliga

Poprad vs Presov prediction

Poprad9–2–1 · Home Presov0–9–3 · Away03:30 PM UTCOct 23

80%win chance incl. overtime20%

Our pick

80%POP80%POP

Poprad to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.24 · projected 3–2

Poprad are the pick at home against Presov, with an 80% chance to win including overtime and a projected 3–2 score.

After 60 minutes

POPPoprad in 60'

72%

Tied → OTTied → OT

15%

PREPresov in 60'

13%

Game flow

POP 3.6 · PRE 2.2 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 1.0–0.8

P2 · 0.9–0.8

P3 · 1.7–0.6

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Poprad80%1.24
Regulation result (60 minutes)Poprad72%1.40
Puck linePresov +2.554%1.85
Total goalsUnder 6.556%1.79
Both teams to scoreYes83%1.20

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Poprad

80%fair 1.24

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Poprad

72%fair 1.40

Puck line

Presov +2.5

54%fair 1.85

Total goals

Under 6.5

56%fair 1.79

Both teams to score

Yes

83%fair 1.20

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

A. CracknellPOP · 7 G in 12 GP · 12 GP71036%2.81
P. BjaloncikPOP · 7 G in 12 GP · 12 GP7735%2.84
A. DvorakPOP · 7 G in 11 GP · 11 GP7435%2.90
D. ArchibaldPRE · 9 G in 12 GP · 12 GP9734%2.98
A. CalofPOP · 4 G in 11 GP · 11 GP4825%4.04
J. UrbanekPOP · 4 G in 12 GP · 12 GP4524%4.12
D. PenningtonPRE · 3 G in 8 GP · 8 GP3618%5.64
M. FeranecPRE · 3 G in 10 GP · 10 GP3616%6.44
L. HamracekPRE · 2 G in 7 GP · 7 GP2215%6.61
G. SmithPRE · 2 G in 10 GP · 10 GP2612%8.40

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Who will win Poprad vs Presov?

Poprad are the pick at home against Presov, with an 80% chance to win including overtime and a projected 3–2 score.

Poprad arrive as the top side in the Slovak Extraliga and face Presov, who sit 12th, so the table already points one way. Recent form sharpens that picture: Poprad have won 5 of their last 5 while scoring 3.4 and allowing 0.8 goals a game, whereas Presov have won 0 of their last 5, scoring 2.4 and allowing 4.8 over the same stretch. The gap in goals against is the loudest number, with Presov conceding far more than Poprad have been giving up.

Adjusted for the opponents each team has faced, Poprad rate +0.36 goals per game against an average team and Presov −0.67, an edge of 1.03 goals to Poprad. Home ice adds about 0.40 goals a game in this league, which pushes the home side further ahead. The model splits the result: Poprad win 72% inside 60 minutes, with a 15% chance of a tie after three periods that would go to overtime and, if needed, a shootout.

The head-to-head is short but one-sided. These teams have met 1 time recently, Poprad 1, Presov 0, and the latest finished Presov 1–4 Poprad on 2026-09-18. The market reads the game the same way as the model: once the bookmaker margin is removed, Poprad are priced at 84% on the moneyline across 8 bookmakers, close to the model's 80% with overtime included.

Presov's case rests on the fact that a single game can turn on small margins, and the model still gives them a real share of the 60-minute outcomes. But their recent defensive record of 4.8 goals allowed per game is the wrong profile against a Poprad side scoring 3.4 and conceding 0.8. The ratings edge of 1.03 goals plus home ice explains why the home side is favoured so clearly.

The projected 3–2 score puts the game near the middle of the goal markets. On the puck line, Poprad −2.5 comes in 46% of the time on our numbers, so a one-goal home win would not cover it. The under 6.5 goals lands 56% against a projected 6 goals, which fits a scoreline decided by a single goal.

Poprad to win, overtime and shootout included (80%). Projected score: 3–2.