DEL2

Bietigheim/Bissingen vs Ravensburg prediction

Bietigheim/Bissingen4–4–2 · Home Ravensburg6–4–0 · Away05:30 PM UTCOct 23

58%win chance incl. overtime42%

Our pick

58%BIE58%BIE

Bietigheim/Bissingen to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.72 · projected 3–2

Bietigheim/Bissingen are 58% favourites at home against Ravensburg, with a projected 3–2 final.

After 60 minutes

BIEBietigheim/Bissingen in 60'

47%

Tied → OTTied → OT

21%

RAVRavensburg in 60'

32%

Game flow

BIE 3.4 · RAV 2.9 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 1.3–0.8

P2 · 1.3–0.9

P3 · 0.9–1.2

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Bietigheim/Bissingen58%1.72
Regulation result (60 minutes)Bietigheim/Bissingen47%2.14
Puck lineRavensburg +1.566%1.52
Total goalsUnder 6.551%1.96
Both teams to scoreYes90%1.11

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Bietigheim/Bissingen

58%fair 1.72

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Bietigheim/Bissingen

47%fair 2.14

Puck line

Ravensburg +1.5

66%fair 1.52

Total goals

Under 6.5

51%fair 1.96

Both teams to score

Yes

90%fair 1.11

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

C. FonstadBIE · 7 G in 9 GP · 9 GP7938%2.65
M. RassellRAV · 8 G in 10 GP · 10 GP8837%2.72
N. RitchieBIE · 4 G in 9 GP · 9 GP4427%3.65
N. LattaRAV · 5 G in 10 GP · 10 GP5325%4.03
R. CzarnikRAV · 4 G in 8 GP · 8 GP4524%4.16
J. DuganBIE · 3 G in 9 GP · 9 GP3621%4.71
M. StruthersRAV · 3 G in 8 GP · 8 GP3320%5.01
S. RaabeBIE · 3 G in 9 GP · 9 GP3020%5.13
D. CernyBIE · 3 G in 10 GP · 10 GP3319%5.28
N. KesslerRAV · 2 G in 6 GP · 6 GP2116%6.29

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Who will win Bietigheim/Bissingen vs Ravensburg?

Bietigheim/Bissingen are 58% favourites at home against Ravensburg, with a projected 3–2 final.

Bietigheim/Bissingen have taken two of their past five outings, and their goals for and against have been identical at 3.4 per game across that run. Ravensburg's recent record is slightly better with three wins in five, but they have conceded 4.0 a game while scoring 3.8. Both sides are leaking goals, which points to a tight, open contest rather than a defensive grind.

The table has Ravensburg seventh and Bietigheim/Bissingen ninth, yet the ratings adjust for the quality of opposition faced. On that basis Bietigheim/Bissingen come out at +0.02 goals per game against an average team, while Ravensburg sit at −0.16, a gap of 0.18 goals in the home side's favour. Add home ice, worth roughly 0.34 goals a game in this league, and the case for the hosts grows.

The model still only gives Bietigheim/Bissingen a 47% chance of winning inside 60 minutes, because about 21% of games like this finish level after regulation. Overtime and the shootout account for the rest of their 58% moneyline probability. The market has reached the same conclusion, pricing Bietigheim/Bissingen at 58% once the bookmaker margin is stripped out across nine bookmakers.

The projected 3–2 scoreline fits the ratings edge and the home-ice boost rather than any expectation of a blowout. Ravensburg's higher scoring rate over the last five gives them a route into the game, but their defensive record over the same stretch is the weaker of the two. That combination keeps the hosts ahead on our numbers without making the win comfortable.

With a projected 3–2 final, Bietigheim/Bissingen −1.5 on the puck line comes in 34% of the time on our numbers, so a two-goal home win is the less likely path. The total sits at a projected 6.5 goals, and the under 6.5 lands 51%, a near coin-flip that leans slightly to the lower side.

Bietigheim/Bissingen to win, overtime and shootout included, at 58%, with a projected score of 3–2.