KHL

Niznekamsk vs Magnitogorsk prediction

Niznekamsk11–6–2 · Home Magnitogorsk15–3–2 · Away07:30 PMOct 27

39%win chance incl. overtime61%

Our pick

61%MAG61%MAG

Magnitogorsk to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.64 · projected 2–3

Our model makes Magnitogorsk 61% favourites on the road against Niznekamsk, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 3–2 final.

After 60 minutes

NIZNiznekamsk in 60'

29%

Tied → OTTied → OT

22%

MAGMagnitogorsk in 60'

49%

Game flow

NIZ 2.4 · MAG 2.7 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 0.5–0.9

P2 · 0.8–0.9

P3 · 1.0–0.9

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Magnitogorsk61%1.64
Regulation result (60 minutes)Magnitogorsk49%2.04
Puck lineNiznekamsk +1.572%1.39
Total goalsUnder 5.561%1.65
Both teams to scoreYes85%1.18

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Magnitogorsk

61%fair 1.64

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Magnitogorsk

49%fair 2.04

Puck line

Niznekamsk +1.5

72%fair 1.39

Total goals

Under 5.5

61%fair 1.65

Both teams to score

Yes

85%fair 1.18

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

A. BelozyorovNIZ · 9 G in 19 GP · 19 GP9326%3.88
N. ToddMAG · 9 G in 20 GP · 20 GP9625%4.05
R. IskhakovMAG · 7 G in 20 GP · 20 GP7420%4.96
D. ZhafyarovNIZ · 7 G in 19 GP · 19 GP7119%5.23
N. MikhailisMAG · 6 G in 18 GP · 18 GP6519%5.27
L. JohnsonMAG · 5 G in 19 GP · 19 GP5618%5.49
M. NadvornyNIZ · 6 G in 19 GP · 19 GP6118%5.61
V. TkachevMAG · 5 G in 20 GP · 20 GP5417%5.72
G. TochilkinNIZ · 5 G in 19 GP · 19 GP5317%5.86
R. BikmullinNIZ · 5 G in 19 GP · 19 GP5217%5.89

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Photo credits (1)

N. Mikhailis · ChelseaFunNumberOne, CC BY-SA 4.0

Who will win Niznekamsk vs Magnitogorsk?

Our model makes Magnitogorsk 61% favourites on the road against Niznekamsk, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 3–2 final.

Niznekamsk have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 2.2 and allowing 2.4 goals a game over that stretch. Magnitogorsk have won 4 of their last 5, scoring 3.8 and allowing 2.2 goals a game over that stretch.

Niznekamsk sit 2nd in the Eastern Conference, while Magnitogorsk sit 1st in the Eastern Conference.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Niznekamsk rate +0.20 and Magnitogorsk +0.64 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.44 goals to Magnitogorsk. Home ice is worth about 0.13 goals a game in this league.

About 22% of games like this one are level after 60 minutes, which is why Magnitogorsk win it in regulation only 49% of the time on our numbers; overtime and the shootout make up the rest of the 61%.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Niznekamsk 0, Magnitogorsk 1); the latest finished Magnitogorsk 6–2 Niznekamsk on 2026-09-20.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Magnitogorsk at 63% on the moneyline across 4 bookmakers.

Our own lines for this game: Magnitogorsk −1.5 on the puck line (28%) and 5.5 total goals, with the under at 61% (5.3 projected).

Magnitogorsk to win, overtime and shootout included (61%). Projected score: 3–2.