HOCKEYORA
NHL

New York Rangers vs Los Angeles Kings prediction

61%win chance incl. overtime39%

Our pick

61%NEW

New York Rangers to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.63 · projected 3–2

New York Rangers are the pick at home against Los Angeles Kings: a 61% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 3–2 score.

After 60 minutes

NEW
51%
Tied → OT
20%
LOS
29%

Game flow

NEW 3.2 · LOS 2.5 expected goals in 60 minutes

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds
  • Moneyline (incl. overtime)New York Rangers61%1.63
  • Regulation result (60 minutes)New York Rangers51%1.97
  • Puck lineLos Angeles Kings +1.565%1.53
  • Total goalsOver 5.551%1.98
  • Both teams to scoreYes89%1.13

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Lines

Lines from the last game · may change

New York Rangers

Last game: Oct 22

1st line

15:49 together at 5-on-5

#PlayerTOIGAP
13Alexis Lafrenière LW19:038614
93Mika Zibanejad C21:363811
94Gabe Perreault RW19:23415

30 points this season

Goalies: Dylan Garand #33 (Projected) · Spencer Martin #41 (Backup)

Los Angeles Kings

Last game: Oct 22

1st line

14:07 together at 5-on-5

#PlayerTOIGAP
10Artemi Panarin LW21:28639
9Adrian Kempe C20:09347
14Alex Laferriere RW22:52257

23 points this season

Goalies: Darcy Kuemper #35 (Projected) · Anton Forsberg #31 (Backup)

Swipe the rink to switch units

How we read the lines

From the NHL’s shift charts, the three forwards and the two defencemen who shared the most 5-on-5 ice time, ranked by time on ice. Coaches shuffle lines often, so treat them as a guide until puck drop. Power-play and penalty-kill units: the five (on the power play) or four (on the penalty kill) skaters who were on the ice together the longest in that situation. TOI: ice time in that game. G, A, P: goals, assists and points this season.

Photo credits (21)

Goalie duel

Projected

Projected from recent starts · confirmed at puck drop

Dylan Garand NEW

.915 save percentage

2.30 GAA · 4–3–1 · 1 shutout · 7 starts

Darcy Kuemper LOS

.890 save percentage

3.55 GAA · 2–3–1 · 6 starts

Teams do not name their goalie before the game. We expect the No. 1 unless his team played the night before, when the back-up usually starts; last season that call was right about two times in three. Our win chances do not depend on it.

Photo credits (2)

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included
PlayerChanceFair odds

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Photo credits (5)
All NHL goal scorer picks today

Who will win New York Rangers vs Los Angeles Kings?

New York Rangers are the pick at home against Los Angeles Kings: a 61% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 3–2 score.

New York Rangers have won 2 of their last 5, scoring 2.8 and allowing 3.2 goals a game over that stretch. Los Angeles Kings have won 2 of their last 5, scoring 2.2 and allowing 2.8 goals a game over that stretch.

New York Rangers sit 3rd in the Eastern Conference, while Los Angeles Kings sit 13th in the Western Conference.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, New York Rangers rate +0.28 and Los Angeles Kings −0.18 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.46 goals to New York Rangers. Home ice is worth about 0.25 goals a game in this league.

About 20% of games like this one are level after 60 minutes, which is why New York Rangers win it in regulation only 51% of the time on our numbers; overtime and the shootout make up the rest of the 61%.

Our own lines for this game: New York Rangers −1.5 on the puck line (35%) and 5.5 total goals, with the over at 51% (5.9 projected).

New York Rangers to win, overtime and shootout included (61%). Projected score: 3–2.

Team leaders

New York RangersThis seasonLos Angeles Kings

Season totals in this competition from the scoresheets so far (8 games per team); current squads only.

Photo credits (3)

Recent form

W win · OTL loss in overtime or a shootout · L loss in regulation

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Also scheduled

Other games that day