Dynamo Moscow vs Avangard Omsk prediction
Our pick
Dynamo Moscow to win
incl. overtime · fair odds 1.94 · projected 2–1
Our model makes Dynamo Moscow 52% favourites at home against Avangard Omsk, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 2–1 final.
After 60 minutes
Game flow
DYN 2.2 · AVA 2.1 expected goals in 60 minutes
Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).
Markets
- Moneyline (incl. overtime)Dynamo Moscow52%1.94
- Regulation result (60 minutes)Dynamo Moscow40%2.49
- Puck lineAvangard Omsk +1.577%1.30
- Total goalsUnder 4.550%1.99
- Both teams to scoreYes78%1.28
Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.
Who scores
Anytime goal, overtime included
- M. LetunovDYN · 7 G in 13 GP · 13 GP7227%3.74
- J. LeivoAVA · 6 G in 15 GP · 15 GP6423%4.31
- N. MerkleyDYN · 6 G in 21 GP · 21 GP6121%4.84
- P. ShenDYN · 5 G in 17 GP · 17 GP5120%5.02
- M. McLeodAVA · 3 G in 8 GP · 8 GP3320%5.03
- V. PonomaryovAVA · 4 G in 15 GP · 15 GP4217%5.74
- D. PylenkovDYN · 4 G in 18 GP · 18 GP4517%6.01
- A. PoturalskiAVA · 4 G in 15 GP · 15 GP4315%6.54
- M. GulyaevAVA · 2 G in 15 GP · 15 GP2211%8.76
- J. WealDYN · 2 G in 20 GP · 20 GP2410%9.91
The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.
Who will win Dynamo Moscow vs Avangard Omsk?
Our model makes Dynamo Moscow 52% favourites at home against Avangard Omsk, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 2–1 final.
Dynamo Moscow have won 1 of their last 5, scoring 1.8 and allowing 2.4 goals a game over that stretch. Avangard Omsk have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 2.0 and allowing 2.2 goals a game over that stretch.
Dynamo Moscow sit 9th in the Western Conference, while Avangard Omsk sit 11th in the Eastern Conference.
Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Dynamo Moscow rate −0.36 and Avangard Omsk −0.33 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.03 goals to Avangard Omsk. Home ice is worth about 0.12 goals a game in this league.
In regulation the model gives Dynamo Moscow 40% to win inside 60 minutes and puts the chance of a tie after three periods at 23%; a tie goes to overtime and, if needed, a shootout.
Our own lines for this game: Dynamo Moscow −1.5 on the puck line (23%) and 4.5 total goals, with the under at 50% (4.5 projected).
Dynamo Moscow to win, overtime and shootout included (52%). Projected score: 2–1. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.
Team leaders
- Points
- Goals
- Assists
- Penalty minutes
Season totals in this competition from the scoresheets so far (16 games per team); current squads only.
Recent form
W win · OTL loss in overtime or a shootout · L loss in regulation
Head to head
No recent meetings on record.
