Metal Ligaen

Frederikshavn vs Odense Bulldogs prediction

Frederikshavn10–3–1 · Home Odense Bulldogs5–6–2 · Away07:00 PMOct 26

56%win chance incl. overtime44%

Our pick

56%FRE56%FRE

Frederikshavn to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.79 · projected 3–2

Our model makes Frederikshavn 56% favourites at home against Odense Bulldogs, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 3–2 final.

After 60 minutes

FREFrederikshavn in 60'

46%

Tied → OTTied → OT

19%

ODEOdense Bulldogs in 60'

35%

Game flow

FRE 3.0 · ODE 2.6 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 0.8–0.9

P2 · 1.1–0.7

P3 · 1.1–1.0

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Frederikshavn56%1.79
Regulation result (60 minutes)Frederikshavn46%2.18
Puck lineOdense Bulldogs +1.570%1.43
Total goalsUnder 5.551%1.95
Both teams to scoreYes88%1.13

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Frederikshavn

56%fair 1.79

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Frederikshavn

46%fair 2.18

Puck line

Odense Bulldogs +1.5

70%fair 1.43

Total goals

Under 5.5

51%fair 1.95

Both teams to score

Yes

88%fair 1.13

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

A. SchioldanFRE · 7 G in 14 GP · 14 GP7328%3.60
A. HalmeFRE · 7 G in 14 GP · 14 GP7427%3.77
C. FrederiksenFRE · 5 G in 12 GP · 12 GP5525%3.96
M. TrepanierODE · 5 G in 12 GP · 12 GP5823%4.26
D. TrittODE · 4 G in 8 GP · 8 GP4423%4.34
A. KarppinenFRE · 6 G in 13 GP · 13 GP6022%4.50
M. SkovFRE · 4 G in 13 GP · 13 GP4320%4.90
R. PiroutekODE · 3 G in 8 GP · 8 GP3518%5.52
M. Klove MogensenODE · 3 G in 11 GP · 11 GP3216%6.13
K. JensenODE · 3 G in 13 GP · 13 GP3116%6.21

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Who will win Frederikshavn vs Odense Bulldogs?

Our model makes Frederikshavn 56% favourites at home against Odense Bulldogs, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 3–2 final.

Frederikshavn have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 3.2 and allowing 3.4 goals a game over that stretch. Odense Bulldogs have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 3.4 and allowing 2.6 goals a game over that stretch.

Frederikshavn sit 2nd, while Odense Bulldogs sit 6th.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Frederikshavn rate +0.12 and Odense Bulldogs −0.04 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.16 goals to Frederikshavn. Home ice is worth about 0.18 goals a game in this league.

In regulation the model gives Frederikshavn 46% to win inside 60 minutes and puts the chance of a tie after three periods at 19%; a tie goes to overtime and, if needed, a shootout.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Frederikshavn 1, Odense Bulldogs 0); the latest finished Odense Bulldogs 0–1 Frederikshavn on 2026-09-14.

Our own lines for this game: Frederikshavn −1.5 on the puck line (30%) and 5.5 total goals, with the under at 51% (5.8 projected).

Frederikshavn to win, overtime and shootout included (56%). Projected score: 3–2. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.