KHL

Yekaterinburg vs Magnitogorsk prediction

Yekaterinburg8–8–2 · Home Magnitogorsk15–3–2 · Away03:00 PMOct 31

43%win chance incl. overtime57%

Our pick

57%MAG57%MAG

Magnitogorsk to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.75 · projected 2–3

Our model makes Magnitogorsk 57% favourites on the road against Yekaterinburg, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 3–2 final.

After 60 minutes

YEKYekaterinburg in 60'

33%

Tied → OTTied → OT

21%

MAGMagnitogorsk in 60'

46%

Game flow

YEK 2.3 · MAG 2.7 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 0.3–0.8

P2 · 1.0–0.7

P3 · 1.0–1.2

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Magnitogorsk57%1.75
Regulation result (60 minutes)Magnitogorsk46%2.15
Puck lineYekaterinburg +1.570%1.42
Total goalsUnder 5.560%1.66
Both teams to scoreYes85%1.18

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Magnitogorsk

57%fair 1.75

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Magnitogorsk

46%fair 2.15

Puck line

Yekaterinburg +1.5

70%fair 1.42

Total goals

Under 5.5

60%fair 1.66

Both teams to score

Yes

85%fair 1.18

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

N. ToddMAG · 9 G in 20 GP · 20 GP9625%3.97
D. SprongYEK · 7 G in 17 GP · 17 GP7222%4.57
R. IskhakovMAG · 7 G in 20 GP · 20 GP7421%4.87
J. BlackerYEK · 4 G in 9 GP · 9 GP4121%4.87
N. MikhailisMAG · 6 G in 18 GP · 18 GP6519%5.17
L. JohnsonMAG · 5 G in 19 GP · 19 GP5619%5.39
A. KadeykinYEK · 5 G in 16 GP · 16 GP5218%5.59
V. TkachevMAG · 5 G in 20 GP · 20 GP5418%5.61
I. KarpukhinYEK · 4 G in 18 GP · 18 GP4618%5.62
M. DenezhkinYEK · 4 G in 15 GP · 15 GP4415%6.64

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Photo credits (1)

N. Mikhailis · ChelseaFunNumberOne, CC BY-SA 4.0

Who will win Yekaterinburg vs Magnitogorsk?

Our model makes Magnitogorsk 57% favourites on the road against Yekaterinburg, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 3–2 final.

Yekaterinburg have won 2 of their last 5, scoring 2.6 and allowing 2.8 goals a game over that stretch. Magnitogorsk have won 4 of their last 5, scoring 3.8 and allowing 2.2 goals a game over that stretch.

Yekaterinburg sit 7th in the Eastern Conference, while Magnitogorsk sit 1st in the Eastern Conference.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Yekaterinburg rate +0.10 and Magnitogorsk +0.63 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.53 goals to Magnitogorsk. Home ice is worth about 0.13 goals a game in this league.

About 21% of games like this one are level after 60 minutes, which is why Magnitogorsk win it in regulation only 46% of the time on our numbers; overtime and the shootout make up the rest of the 57%.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Yekaterinburg 0, Magnitogorsk 1); the latest finished Magnitogorsk 4–2 Yekaterinburg on 2026-10-18.

Our own lines for this game: Magnitogorsk −1.5 on the puck line (30%) and 5.5 total goals, with the under at 60% (5.3 projected).

Magnitogorsk to win, overtime and shootout included (57%). Projected score: 3–2.