Czech Extraliga

Plzeň vs Olomouc prediction

Plzeň7–4–1 · Home Olomouc3–10–0 · Away05:30 PMOct 27

63%win chance incl. overtime37%

Our pick

63%PLZ63%PLZ

Plzeň to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.59 · projected 3–2

The numbers side with Plzeň (63%) at home against Olomouc, with 3–2 the most likely final score.

After 60 minutes

PLZPlzeň in 60'

52%

Tied → OTTied → OT

21%

OLOOlomouc in 60'

27%

Game flow

PLZ 2.8 · OLO 2.1 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 0.6–0.5

P2 · 1.3–0.5

P3 · 1.0–1.1

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Plzeň63%1.59
Regulation result (60 minutes)Plzeň52%1.92
Puck lineOlomouc +1.566%1.52
Total goalsOver 4.560%1.66
Both teams to scoreYes82%1.21

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Plzeň

63%fair 1.59

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Plzeň

52%fair 1.92

Puck line

Olomouc +1.5

66%fair 1.52

Total goals

Over 4.5

60%fair 1.66

Both teams to score

Yes

82%fair 1.21

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

A. MechuraPLZ · 6 G in 12 GP · 12 GP6330%3.30
V. PetmanPLZ · 4 G in 13 GP · 13 GP4323%4.27
M. TeplyPLZ · 4 G in 12 GP · 12 GP4221%4.82
J. KosOLO · 4 G in 12 GP · 12 GP4321%4.84
J. NavratilOLO · 4 G in 13 GP · 13 GP4320%5.06
C. RobertsonPLZ · 3 G in 13 GP · 13 GP3319%5.30
K. RubinsPLZ · 2 G in 12 GP · 12 GP2215%6.49
K. J. PlasekOLO · 3 G in 13 GP · 13 GP3014%7.25
P. GewieseOLO · 2 G in 13 GP · 13 GP2012%8.58
D. HercikOLO · 2 G in 13 GP · 13 GP2111%9.24

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Who will win Plzeň vs Olomouc?

The numbers side with Plzeň (63%) at home against Olomouc, with 3–2 the most likely final score.

Plzeň have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 2.4 and allowing 2.2 goals a game over that stretch. Olomouc have won 1 of their last 5, scoring 1.4 and allowing 3.2 goals a game over that stretch.

Plzeň sit 6th, while Olomouc sit 14th.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Plzeň rate −0.08 and Olomouc −0.68 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.60 goals to Plzeň. Home ice is worth about 0.14 goals a game in this league.

About 21% of games like this one are level after 60 minutes, which is why Plzeň win it in regulation only 52% of the time on our numbers; overtime and the shootout make up the rest of the 63%.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Plzeň 0, Olomouc 1); the latest finished Olomouc 3–2 Plzeň on 2026-09-18.

Our own lines for this game: Plzeň −1.5 on the puck line (34%) and 4.5 total goals, with the over at 60% (5.1 projected).

Plzeň to win, overtime and shootout included (63%). Projected score: 3–2.