Czech Extraliga

Kladno vs Vítkovice prediction

Kladno6–4–2 · Home Vítkovice3–7–2 · Away04:00 PMOct 25

64%win chance incl. overtime36%

Our pick

64%KLA64%KLA

Kladno to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.57 · projected 3–2

Kladno are favoured at 64% to beat Vítkovice, with a projected score of 3–2.

After 60 minutes

KLAKladno in 60'

51%

Tied → OTTied → OT

21%

VÍTVítkovice in 60'

28%

Game flow

KLA 3.0 · VÍT 2.6 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 1.2–0.6

P2 · 0.9–1.1

P3 · 0.9–0.8

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Kladno64%1.57
Regulation result (60 minutes)Kladno51%1.96
Puck lineVítkovice +1.564%1.56
Total goalsUnder 5.557%1.77
Both teams to scoreYes84%1.18

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Kladno

64%fair 1.57

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Kladno

51%fair 1.96

Puck line

Vítkovice +1.5

64%fair 1.56

Total goals

Under 5.5

57%fair 1.77

Both teams to score

Yes

84%fair 1.18

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

N. OjamakiKLA · 7 G in 13 GP · 13 GP7532%3.12
P. PietroniroKLA · 5 G in 13 GP · 13 GP5325%4.03
J. KonecnyKLA · 5 G in 13 GP · 13 GP5424%4.10
D. CiencialaVÍT · 3 G in 13 GP · 13 GP3218%5.55
D. AudetteKLA · 3 G in 13 GP · 13 GP3417%5.73
J. HladonikVÍT · 2 G in 8 GP · 8 GP2117%5.82
C. YetmanVÍT · 3 G in 13 GP · 13 GP3217%5.99
A. NellisVÍT · 3 G in 12 GP · 12 GP3216%6.06
M. KalusVÍT · 3 G in 13 GP · 13 GP3216%6.19
K. KlimaKLA · 3 G in 13 GP · 13 GP3116%6.21

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Who will win Kladno vs Vítkovice?

Kladno are favoured at 64% to beat Vítkovice, with a projected score of 3–2.

Kladno enter this game having won three of their last five, scoring 2.4 and allowing 2.4 goals per game over that stretch. Vítkovice have won just one of their last five, scoring 2.2 and allowing 3.4 goals per game. That recent form gives Kladno the edge, and the table reinforces it: Kladno sit 7th, while Vítkovice sit 13th.

On adjusted ratings, Kladno are −0.10 goals per game against an average team, while Vítkovice are −0.35. That 0.24-goal edge to Kladno is before home ice is considered, and home ice is worth about 0.15 goals per game in this league. The ratings and home advantage together point clearly to a Kladno win.

The teams have met once recently, with Kladno winning 4–3 at Vítkovice on 2026-09-16. That head-to-head result supports the ratings, and the market agrees: after removing the bookmaker margin, Kladno are priced at 67% on the moneyline across five bookmakers. Our model gives Kladno 64%, so the market and model are close.

About 21% of games like this one are level after 60 minutes, which is why Kladno win in regulation only 51% of the time on our numbers. Overtime and the shootout make up the rest of the 64%, so a Kladno win in regulation is not the most likely single outcome, but the overall pick remains Kladno.

The projected score of 3–2 implies a one-goal margin, which makes Kladno −1.5 on the puck line a long shot at 36% on our numbers. The total is projected at 5.7 goals, and the under 5.5 goals lands 56% of the time. Those probabilities suggest value on the under and against Kladno covering the puck line.

Kladno to win (64%) with a projected score of 3–2.