Czech Extraliga

Ceske Budejovice vs Mountfield HK prediction

Ceske Budejovice6–5–1 · Home Mountfield HK7–5–0 · Away04:30 PM UTCOct 27

50%win chance incl. overtime50%

Our pick

50%CES50%CES

Ceske Budejovice to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.99 · projected 3–2

Ceske Budejovice are the pick at home against Mountfield HK: a 50% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 3–2 score.

After 60 minutes

CESCeske Budejovice in 60'

40%

Tied → OTTied → OT

20%

MOUMountfield HK in 60'

40%

Game flow

CES 2.7 · MOU 2.7 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 0.9–0.9

P2 · 1.0–0.8

P3 · 0.9–1.0

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Ceske Budejovice50%1.99
Regulation result (60 minutes)Ceske Budejovice40%2.50
Puck lineMountfield HK +1.575%1.33
Total goalsUnder 5.555%1.83
Both teams to scoreYes87%1.14

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Ceske Budejovice

50%fair 1.99

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Ceske Budejovice

40%fair 2.50

Puck line

Mountfield HK +1.5

75%fair 1.33

Total goals

Under 5.5

55%fair 1.83

Both teams to score

Yes

87%fair 1.14

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

N. OlesenCES · 6 G in 12 GP · 12 GP6327%3.67
J. OrdosCES · 5 G in 9 GP · 9 GP5226%3.78
L. RadilMOU · 4 G in 9 GP · 9 GP4424%4.22
J. StencelCES · 4 G in 10 GP · 10 GP4422%4.61
A. JerglMOU · 4 G in 10 GP · 10 GP4320%4.92
A. TamasiMOU · 3 G in 7 GP · 7 GP3320%4.97
R. PavlikMOU · 4 G in 12 GP · 12 GP4320%5.13
J. PourCES · 4 G in 12 GP · 12 GP4119%5.34
K. KlimaMOU · 3 G in 10 GP · 10 GP3519%5.38
M. BeranekCES · 2 G in 7 GP · 7 GP2216%6.06

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Photo credits: N. Olesen: Rolandhino1, CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons

Who will win Ceske Budejovice vs Mountfield HK?

Ceske Budejovice are the pick at home against Mountfield HK: a 50% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 3–2 score.

Ceske Budejovice have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 3.0 and allowing 2.4 goals a game over that stretch. Mountfield HK have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 3.0 and allowing 2.6 goals a game over that stretch.

Ceske Budejovice sit 5th, while Mountfield HK sit 4th.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Ceske Budejovice rate −0.08 and Mountfield HK +0.06 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.14 goals to Mountfield HK. Home ice is worth about 0.15 goals a game in this league.

In regulation the model gives Ceske Budejovice 40% to win inside 60 minutes and puts the chance of a tie after three periods at 20%; a tie goes to overtime and, if needed, a shootout.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Ceske Budejovice 1, Mountfield HK 0); the latest finished Mountfield HK 0–2 Ceske Budejovice on 2026-09-18.

Our own lines for this game: Ceske Budejovice −1.5 on the puck line (25%) and 5.5 total goals, with the under at 55% (5.6 projected).

Ceske Budejovice to win, overtime and shootout included (50%). Projected score: 3–2. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.