ICE Hockey League

Pioneers Vorarlberg vs Olimpija Ljubljana prediction

Pioneers Vorarlberg0–13–1 · Home Olimpija Ljubljana8–5–0 · Away07:30 PMOct 28

35%win chance incl. overtime65%

Our pick

65%OLI65%OLI

Olimpija Ljubljana to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.54 · projected 2–3

The numbers side with Olimpija Ljubljana (65%) on the road against Pioneers Vorarlberg, with 3–2 the most likely final score.

After 60 minutes

PIOPioneers Vorarlberg in 60'

27%

Tied → OTTied → OT

18%

OLIOlimpija Ljubljana in 60'

55%

Game flow

PIO 2.7 · OLI 3.7 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 0.5–1.1

P2 · 1.3–1.3

P3 · 1.0–1.3

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Olimpija Ljubljana65%1.54
Regulation result (60 minutes)Olimpija Ljubljana55%1.81
Puck linePioneers Vorarlberg +1.560%1.66
Total goalsOver 6.551%1.94
Both teams to scoreYes91%1.09

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Olimpija Ljubljana

65%fair 1.54

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Olimpija Ljubljana

55%fair 1.81

Puck line

Pioneers Vorarlberg +1.5

60%fair 1.66

Total goals

Over 6.5

51%fair 1.94

Both teams to score

Yes

91%fair 1.09

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

J. LawrenceOLI · 11 G in 13 GP · 13 GP11542%2.41
N. MeyerOLI · 8 G in 13 GP · 13 GP8633%2.99
J. UrbasOLI · 7 G in 13 GP · 13 GP7331%3.27
G. van NesPIO · 7 G in 14 GP · 14 GP7229%3.44
Z. PanceOLI · 3 G in 5 GP · 5 GP3429%3.44
B. MurrayPIO · 6 G in 14 GP · 14 GP6529%3.45
N. SerdachnyPIO · 4 G in 13 GP · 13 GP4219%5.18
B. SummerPIO · 2 G in 8 GP · 8 GP2118%5.56
N. HalbertOLI · 3 G in 13 GP · 13 GP3318%5.58
J. SeppalaPIO · 2 G in 12 GP · 12 GP2114%7.05

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Who will win Pioneers Vorarlberg vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

The numbers side with Olimpija Ljubljana (65%) on the road against Pioneers Vorarlberg, with 3–2 the most likely final score.

Pioneers Vorarlberg have won 0 of their last 5, scoring 2.0 and allowing 4.2 goals a game over that stretch. Olimpija Ljubljana have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 3.4 and allowing 2.2 goals a game over that stretch.

Pioneers Vorarlberg sit 14th, while Olimpija Ljubljana sit 4th.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Pioneers Vorarlberg rate −0.80 and Olimpija Ljubljana +0.45 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 1.25 goals to Olimpija Ljubljana. Home ice is worth about 0.27 goals a game in this league.

In regulation the model gives Olimpija Ljubljana 55% to win inside 60 minutes and puts the chance of a tie after three periods at 18%; a tie goes to overtime and, if needed, a shootout.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Pioneers Vorarlberg 0, Olimpija Ljubljana 1); the latest finished Olimpija Ljubljana 8–0 Pioneers Vorarlberg on 2026-10-04.

Our own lines for this game: Olimpija Ljubljana −1.5 on the puck line (40%) and 6.5 total goals, with the over at 51% (6.6 projected).

Olimpija Ljubljana to win, overtime and shootout included (65%). Projected score: 3–2.