ICE Hockey League

Vienna Capitals vs Graz99ers prediction

Vienna Capitals7–4–1 · Home Graz99ers7–4–2 · Away02:45 PMOct 25

55%win chance incl. overtime45%

Our pick

55%VIE55%VIE

Vienna Capitals to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.81 · projected 3–2

Vienna Capitals are the pick at home against Graz99ers: a 55% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 3–2 score.

After 60 minutes

VIEVienna Capitals in 60'

45%

Tied → OTTied → OT

20%

GRAGraz99ers in 60'

35%

Game flow

VIE 3.0 · GRA 2.7 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 0.9–1.0

P2 · 1.1–0.7

P3 · 1.0–1.0

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Vienna Capitals55%1.81
Regulation result (60 minutes)Vienna Capitals45%2.22
Puck lineGraz99ers +1.571%1.41
Total goalsUnder 5.551%1.97
Both teams to scoreYes89%1.13

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Vienna Capitals

55%fair 1.81

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Vienna Capitals

45%fair 2.22

Puck line

Graz99ers +1.5

71%fair 1.41

Total goals

Under 5.5

51%fair 1.97

Both teams to score

Yes

89%fair 1.13

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

S. GersichVIE · 8 G in 11 GP · 11 GP8335%2.86
S. PeetersVIE · 5 G in 6 GP · 6 GP5334%2.94
J. LiljaVIE · 7 G in 12 GP · 12 GP7232%3.14
P. HuberGRA · 7 G in 13 GP · 13 GP7729%3.50
N. SwaneyGRA · 7 G in 13 GP · 13 GP7426%3.80
J. GregoireVIE · 5 G in 12 GP · 12 GP5624%4.16
C. HanusGRA · 4 G in 13 GP · 13 GP4521%4.69
J. LippitschGRA · 3 G in 6 GP · 6 GP3220%4.98
C. CollinsGRA · 3 G in 11 GP · 11 GP3318%5.60
N. BailenVIE · 2 G in 12 GP · 12 GP2415%6.81

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Who will win Vienna Capitals vs Graz99ers?

Vienna Capitals are the pick at home against Graz99ers: a 55% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 3–2 score.

Vienna Capitals have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 2.6 and allowing 2.6 goals a game over that stretch. Graz99ers have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 3.4 and allowing 3.2 goals a game over that stretch.

Vienna Capitals sit 6th, while Graz99ers sit 7th.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Vienna Capitals rate 0.00 and Graz99ers −0.06 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.05 goals to Vienna Capitals. Home ice is worth about 0.27 goals a game in this league.

In regulation the model gives Vienna Capitals 45% to win inside 60 minutes and puts the chance of a tie after three periods at 20%; a tie goes to overtime and, if needed, a shootout.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Vienna Capitals 0, Graz99ers 1); the latest finished Graz99ers 3–2 Vienna Capitals on 2026-09-25.

Our own lines for this game: Vienna Capitals −1.5 on the puck line (29%) and 5.5 total goals, with the under at 51% (5.8 projected).

Vienna Capitals to win, overtime and shootout included (55%). Projected score: 3–2. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.