ICE Hockey League

Fehérvár AV19 vs Val Pusteria prediction

Fehérvár AV194–6–3 · Home Val Pusteria7–3–1 · Away04:00 PMOct 25

45%win chance incl. overtime55%

Our pick

55%VAL55%VAL

Val Pusteria to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.83 · projected 2–3

Our model makes Val Pusteria 55% favourites on the road against Fehervar AV19, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 3–2 final.

After 60 minutes

FEHFehérvár AV19 in 60'

35%

Tied → OTTied → OT

21%

VALVal Pusteria in 60'

44%

Game flow

FEH 2.6 · VAL 2.8 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 0.6–0.6

P2 · 0.9–1.0

P3 · 1.0–1.3

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Val Pusteria55%1.83
Regulation result (60 minutes)Val Pusteria44%2.27
Puck lineFehérvár AV19 +1.572%1.39
Total goalsUnder 5.554%1.84
Both teams to scoreYes87%1.14

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Val Pusteria

55%fair 1.83

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Val Pusteria

44%fair 2.27

Puck line

Fehérvár AV19 +1.5

72%fair 1.39

Total goals

Under 5.5

54%fair 1.84

Both teams to score

Yes

87%fair 1.14

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

T. CheekFEH · 6 G in 13 GP · 13 GP6329%3.48
G. FitzgeraldVAL · 5 G in 9 GP · 9 GP5427%3.67
M. CyrFEH · 3 G in 6 GP · 6 GP3323%4.26
G. FontaineVAL · 5 G in 11 GP · 11 GP5323%4.28
M. FarrenFEH · 3 G in 7 GP · 7 GP3222%4.60
C. BardreauVAL · 4 G in 11 GP · 11 GP4221%4.81
A. LobisVAL · 3 G in 8 GP · 8 GP3120%4.91
C. AmbrusFEH · 2 G in 5 GP · 5 GP2219%5.26
A. OsmanskiVAL · 2 G in 7 GP · 7 GP2217%5.79
B. ZlotyFEH · 3 G in 13 GP · 13 GP3116%6.08

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Who will win Fehérvár AV19 vs Val Pusteria?

Our model makes Val Pusteria 55% favourites on the road against Fehervar AV19, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 3–2 final.

Fehervar AV19 have won 1 of their last 5, scoring 2.0 and allowing 4.2 goals a game over that stretch. Val Pusteria have won 2 of their last 5, scoring 2.4 and allowing 2.8 goals a game over that stretch.

Fehervar AV19 sit 13th, while Val Pusteria sit 5th.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Fehervar AV19 rate −0.51 and Val Pusteria +0.13 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.64 goals to Val Pusteria. Home ice is worth about 0.36 goals a game in this league.

In regulation the model gives Val Pusteria 44% to win inside 60 minutes and puts the chance of a tie after three periods at 21%; a tie goes to overtime and, if needed, a shootout.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Fehervar AV19 0, Val Pusteria 1); the latest finished Val Pusteria 3–2 Fehervar AV19 on 2026-10-04.

Our own lines for this game: Val Pusteria −1.5 on the puck line (28%) and 5.5 total goals, with the under at 54% (5.6 projected).

Val Pusteria to win, overtime and shootout included (55%). Projected score: 3–2. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.