HockeyAllsvenskan

Leksand vs BIK Karlskoga prediction

Leksand10–3–0 · Home BIK Karlskoga5–6–3 · Away07:00 PMOct 28

67%win chance incl. overtime33%

Our pick

67%LEK67%LEK

Leksand to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.49 · projected 3–2

Our model makes Leksand 67% favourites at home against BIK Karlskoga, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 3–2 final.

After 60 minutes

LEKLeksand in 60'

57%

Tied → OTTied → OT

18%

BIKBIK Karlskoga in 60'

24%

Game flow

LEK 3.5 · BIK 2.4 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 0.8–0.7

P2 · 1.2–0.8

P3 · 1.5–0.9

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Leksand67%1.49
Regulation result (60 minutes)Leksand57%1.74
Puck lineBIK Karlskoga +1.559%1.70
Total goalsOver 5.555%1.82
Both teams to scoreYes89%1.12

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Leksand

67%fair 1.49

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Leksand

57%fair 1.74

Puck line

BIK Karlskoga +1.5

59%fair 1.70

Total goals

Over 5.5

55%fair 1.82

Both teams to score

Yes

89%fair 1.12

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

T. KelleherLEK · 11 G in 12 GP · 12 GP11838%2.60
O. LangLEK · 8 G in 13 GP · 13 GP8731%3.18
J. PassoltLEK · 7 G in 14 GP · 14 GP7728%3.58
A. LisselLEK · 7 G in 13 GP · 13 GP7226%3.78
A. StakkestadLEK · 7 G in 13 GP · 13 GP7626%3.81
L. OlvestadBIK · 4 G in 8 GP · 8 GP4323%4.32
J. EmanuelssonBIK · 4 G in 14 GP · 14 GP4320%5.07
T. TreloarBIK · 4 G in 14 GP · 14 GP4318%5.56
H. BjorklundBIK · 4 G in 14 GP · 14 GP4117%5.86
O. HolmertzBIK · 3 G in 13 GP · 13 GP3215%6.57

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Who will win Leksand vs BIK Karlskoga?

Our model makes Leksand 67% favourites at home against BIK Karlskoga, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 3–2 final.

Leksand have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 4.6 and allowing 2.4 goals a game over that stretch. BIK Karlskoga have won 2 of their last 5, scoring 2.2 and allowing 2.4 goals a game over that stretch.

Leksand sit 2nd, while BIK Karlskoga sit 8th.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Leksand rate +0.69 and BIK Karlskoga −0.18 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.88 goals to Leksand. Home ice is worth about 0.23 goals a game in this league.

In regulation the model gives Leksand 57% to win inside 60 minutes and puts the chance of a tie after three periods at 18%; a tie goes to overtime and, if needed, a shootout.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Leksand 1, BIK Karlskoga 0); the latest finished BIK Karlskoga 4–5 Leksand on 2026-10-02.

Our own lines for this game: Leksand −1.5 on the puck line (41%) and 5.5 total goals, with the over at 55% (6.2 projected).

Leksand to win, overtime and shootout included (67%). Projected score: 3–2.