HockeyAllsvenskan

Almtuna vs Västerås prediction

Almtuna6–7–1 · Home Västerås5–7–2 · Away07:00 PMOct 28

49%win chance incl. overtime51%

Our pick

51%VÄS51%VÄS

Västerås to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.96 · projected 2–3

The numbers side with Västerås (51%) on the road against Almtuna, with 3–2 the most likely final score.

After 60 minutes

ALMAlmtuna in 60'

39%

Tied → OTTied → OT

20%

VÄSVästerås in 60'

41%

Game flow

ALM 2.9 · VÄS 2.9 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 1.1–0.7

P2 · 0.9–1.0

P3 · 0.9–1.2

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Västerås51%1.96
Regulation result (60 minutes)Västerås41%2.45
Puck lineAlmtuna +1.574%1.35
Total goalsOver 5.552%1.91
Both teams to scoreYes90%1.11

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Västerås

51%fair 1.96

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Västerås

41%fair 2.45

Puck line

Almtuna +1.5

74%fair 1.35

Total goals

Over 5.5

52%fair 1.91

Both teams to score

Yes

90%fair 1.11

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

S. FalkVÄS · 6 G in 14 GP · 14 GP6327%3.64
L. ZetterbergVÄS · 6 G in 13 GP · 13 GP6527%3.65
V. PantzareVÄS · 5 G in 9 GP · 9 GP5125%3.93
F. HellstromVÄS · 5 G in 14 GP · 14 GP5524%4.12
K. SternerALM · 6 G in 14 GP · 14 GP6124%4.15
S. SalonenALM · 4 G in 11 GP · 11 GP4222%4.55
B. OsmanisALM · 4 G in 13 GP · 13 GP4222%4.63
L. SmithALM · 2 G in 7 GP · 7 GP2120%4.94
C. JakobssonVÄS · 4 G in 13 GP · 13 GP4420%5.07
L. SundqvistALM · 3 G in 13 GP · 13 GP3118%5.66

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Who will win Almtuna vs Västerås?

The numbers side with Västerås (51%) on the road against Almtuna, with 3–2 the most likely final score.

Almtuna have won 1 of their last 5, scoring 1.8 and allowing 5.2 goals a game over that stretch. Västerås have won 2 of their last 5, scoring 3.0 and allowing 3.8 goals a game over that stretch.

Almtuna sit 9th, while Västerås sit 11th.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Almtuna rate −0.40 and Västerås −0.10 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.30 goals to Västerås. Home ice is worth about 0.23 goals a game in this league.

In regulation the model gives Västerås 41% to win inside 60 minutes and puts the chance of a tie after three periods at 20%; a tie goes to overtime and, if needed, a shootout.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Almtuna 1, Västerås 0); the latest finished Västerås 2–3 Almtuna on 2026-09-18.

Our own lines for this game: Västerås −1.5 on the puck line (26%) and 5.5 total goals, with the over at 52% (6 projected).

Västerås to win, overtime and shootout included (51%). Projected score: 3–2. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.