HockeyAllsvenskan

Nybro vs MODO prediction

Nybro4–9–0 · Home MODO10–2–1 · Away06:00 PM UTCOct 28

43%win chance incl. overtime57%

Our pick

57%MOD57%MOD

MODO to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.76 · projected 2–3

MODO are the pick on the road against Nybro: a 57% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 3–2 score.

After 60 minutes

NYBNybro in 60'

33%

Tied → OTTied → OT

21%

MODMODO in 60'

46%

Game flow

NYB 2.4 · MOD 2.8 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 0.6–1.1

P2 · 0.8–0.8

P3 · 1.0–0.9

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)MODO57%1.76
Regulation result (60 minutes)MODO46%2.17
Puck lineNybro +1.570%1.42
Total goalsUnder 5.558%1.74
Both teams to scoreYes86%1.16

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

MODO

57%fair 1.76

Regulation result (60 minutes)

MODO

46%fair 2.17

Puck line

Nybro +1.5

70%fair 1.42

Total goals

Under 5.5

58%fair 1.74

Both teams to score

Yes

86%fair 1.16

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

C. MattssonMOD · 8 G in 13 GP · 13 GP8331%3.20
O. PetterssonMOD · 4 G in 7 GP · 7 GP4426%3.80
Z. WytinckNYB · 5 G in 13 GP · 13 GP5325%4.03
T. JacobssonNYB · 4 G in 12 GP · 12 GP4324%4.20
A. BergMOD · 4 G in 9 GP · 9 GP4323%4.35
E. HermanssonMOD · 4 G in 12 GP · 12 GP4322%4.63
E. RosenMOD · 3 G in 8 GP · 8 GP3320%4.93
J. RohdinNYB · 4 G in 13 GP · 13 GP4319%5.27
O. KandergardNYB · 3 G in 13 GP · 13 GP3216%6.07
S. EngebratenNYB · 1 G in 7 GP · 7 GP1113%7.55

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Who will win Nybro vs MODO?

MODO are the pick on the road against Nybro: a 57% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 3–2 score.

Nybro have won 1 of their last 5, scoring 1.4 and allowing 2.8 goals a game over that stretch. MODO have won 5 of their last 5, scoring 3.4 and allowing 1.6 goals a game over that stretch.

Nybro sit 12th, while MODO sit 4th.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Nybro rate −0.54 and MODO +0.20 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.73 goals to MODO. Home ice is worth about 0.32 goals a game in this league.

About 21% of games like this one are level after 60 minutes, which is why MODO win it in regulation only 46% of the time on our numbers; overtime and the shootout make up the rest of the 57%.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Nybro 0, MODO 1); the latest finished Nybro 2–3 MODO on 2026-09-28.

Our own lines for this game: MODO −1.5 on the puck line (30%) and 5.5 total goals, with the under at 58% (5.4 projected).

MODO to win, overtime and shootout included (57%). Projected score: 3–2. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.