ICE Hockey League

Milano vs Pioneers Vorarlberg prediction

Milano6–6–2 · Home Pioneers Vorarlberg0–13–1 · Away07:45 PMOct 30

66%win chance incl. overtime34%

Our pick

66%MIL66%MIL

Milano to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.52 · projected 3–2

Milano are the pick at home against Pioneers Vorarlberg: a 66% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 3–2 score.

After 60 minutes

MILMilano in 60'

56%

Tied → OTTied → OT

18%

PIOPioneers Vorarlberg in 60'

26%

Game flow

MIL 3.6 · PIO 2.6 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 1.1–0.3

P2 · 1.3–1.1

P3 · 1.2–1.1

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Milano66%1.52
Regulation result (60 minutes)Milano56%1.78
Puck linePioneers Vorarlberg +1.560%1.67
Total goalsUnder 6.553%1.87
Both teams to scoreYes90%1.11

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Milano

66%fair 1.52

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Milano

56%fair 1.78

Puck line

Pioneers Vorarlberg +1.5

60%fair 1.67

Total goals

Under 6.5

53%fair 1.87

Both teams to score

Yes

90%fair 1.11

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

M. Dal ColleMIL · 6 G in 14 GP · 14 GP6632%3.16
N. CaamanoMIL · 6 G in 14 GP · 14 GP6231%3.25
A. GrantMIL · 4 G in 13 GP · 13 GP4628%3.54
G. van NesPIO · 7 G in 14 GP · 14 GP7228%3.63
B. MurrayPIO · 6 G in 14 GP · 14 GP6527%3.65
D. KostnerMIL · 2 G in 7 GP · 7 GP2121%4.78
B. McLaughlinMIL · 4 G in 14 GP · 14 GP4020%4.94
N. SerdachnyPIO · 4 G in 13 GP · 13 GP4218%5.49
B. SummerPIO · 2 G in 8 GP · 8 GP2117%5.91
J. SeppalaPIO · 2 G in 12 GP · 12 GP2113%7.50

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Who will win Milano vs Pioneers Vorarlberg?

Milano are the pick at home against Pioneers Vorarlberg: a 66% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 3–2 score.

Milano have won 1 of their last 5, scoring 2.8 and allowing 3.2 goals a game over that stretch. Pioneers Vorarlberg have won 0 of their last 5, scoring 2.0 and allowing 4.2 goals a game over that stretch.

Milano sit 8th, while Pioneers Vorarlberg sit 14th.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Milano rate −0.05 and Pioneers Vorarlberg −0.79 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.75 goals to Milano. Home ice is worth about 0.27 goals a game in this league.

In regulation the model gives Milano 56% to win inside 60 minutes and puts the chance of a tie after three periods at 18%; a tie goes to overtime and, if needed, a shootout.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Milano 1, Pioneers Vorarlberg 0); the latest finished Pioneers Vorarlberg 4–5 Milano on 2026-09-23.

Our own lines for this game: Milano −1.5 on the puck line (40%) and 6.5 total goals, with the under at 53% (6.3 projected).

Milano to win, overtime and shootout included (66%). Projected score: 3–2.