KHL

Lada vs Avangard Omsk prediction

Lada2–11–5 · Home Avangard Omsk8–8–0 · Away06:00 PMOct 30

44%win chance incl. overtime56%

Our pick

56%AVA56%AVA

Avangard Omsk to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.80 · projected 1–2

Our model makes Avangard Omsk 56% favourites on the road against Lada, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 2–1 final.

After 60 minutes

LADLada in 60'

34%

Tied → OTTied → OT

22%

AVAAvangard Omsk in 60'

44%

Game flow

LAD 2.0 · AVA 2.3 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 0.4–0.8

P2 · 0.5–1.0

P3 · 1.1–0.5

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Avangard Omsk56%1.80
Regulation result (60 minutes)Avangard Omsk44%2.27
Puck lineLada +1.574%1.36
Total goalsOver 4.552%1.91
Both teams to scoreYes79%1.26

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Avangard Omsk

56%fair 1.80

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Avangard Omsk

44%fair 2.27

Puck line

Lada +1.5

74%fair 1.36

Total goals

Over 4.5

52%fair 1.91

Both teams to score

Yes

79%fair 1.26

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

J. LeivoAVA · 6 G in 15 GP · 15 GP6426%3.91
M. McLeodAVA · 3 G in 8 GP · 8 GP3322%4.55
R. SawchukLAD · 6 G in 18 GP · 18 GP6020%5.03
V. PonomaryovAVA · 4 G in 15 GP · 15 GP4219%5.19
A. ChivilyovLAD · 4 G in 18 GP · 18 GP4217%5.88
A. PoturalskiAVA · 4 G in 15 GP · 15 GP4317%5.90
N. MakarovLAD · 2 G in 14 GP · 14 GP2314%7.08
Y. GroshevLAD · 2 G in 12 GP · 12 GP2114%7.16
M. GulyaevAVA · 2 G in 15 GP · 15 GP2213%7.89
R. ShakirovLAD · 2 G in 16 GP · 16 GP2012%8.35

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Who will win Lada vs Avangard Omsk?

Our model makes Avangard Omsk 56% favourites on the road against Lada, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 2–1 final.

Lada have won 1 of their last 5, scoring 1.0 and allowing 1.8 goals a game over that stretch. Avangard Omsk have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 2.0 and allowing 2.2 goals a game over that stretch.

Lada sit 10th in the Western Conference, while Avangard Omsk sit 11th in the Eastern Conference.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Lada rate −0.74 and Avangard Omsk −0.32 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.42 goals to Avangard Omsk. Home ice is worth about 0.12 goals a game in this league.

In regulation the model gives Avangard Omsk 44% to win inside 60 minutes and puts the chance of a tie after three periods at 22%; a tie goes to overtime and, if needed, a shootout.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Lada 0, Avangard Omsk 1); the latest finished Avangard Omsk 4–1 Lada on 2026-10-02.

Our own lines for this game: Avangard Omsk −1.5 on the puck line (26%) and 4.5 total goals, with the over at 52% (4.6 projected).

Avangard Omsk to win, overtime and shootout included (56%). Projected score: 2–1. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.