NHL

Utah Mammoth vs Minnesota Wild prediction

Utah Mammoth7–4–0 · Home Minnesota Wild6–3–2 · Away09:00 PMOct 27

54%win chance incl. overtime46%

Our pick

54%UTA54%UTA

Utah Mammoth to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.85 · projected 3–2

The numbers side with Utah Mammoth (54%) at home against Minnesota Wild, with 3–2 the most likely final score.

After 60 minutes

UTAUtah Mammoth in 60'

44%

Tied → OTTied → OT

20%

MINMinnesota Wild in 60'

36%

Game flow

UTA 3.1 · MIN 2.9 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 1.0–1.0

P2 · 1.1–1.0

P3 · 1.0–0.8

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Utah Mammoth54%1.85
Regulation result (60 minutes)Utah Mammoth44%2.29
Puck lineMinnesota Wild +1.571%1.40
Total goalsOver 5.555%1.82
Both teams to scoreYes90%1.11

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Utah Mammoth

54%fair 1.85

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Utah Mammoth

44%fair 2.29

Puck line

Minnesota Wild +1.5

71%fair 1.40

Total goals

Over 5.5

55%fair 1.82

Both teams to score

Yes

90%fair 1.11

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Lines

Lines from the last game · may change

Utah Mammoth

Last game: Oct 22

70VejmelkaProjected

CK9KellerLW VT16TrocheckC DG11GuentherRW

1st line

6:44 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
9	Clayton Keller LW	20:09	4	7	11
16	Vincent Trocheck C	17:39	3	2	5
11	Dylan Guenther RW	20:10	4	5	9

25 points this season

LC67CrouseLW NS8SchmaltzC LC92CooleyRW

2nd line

4:21 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
67	Lawson Crouse LW	12:52	1	3	4
8	Nick Schmaltz C	17:49	7	6	13
92	Logan Cooley RW	17:25	3	5	8

25 points this season

AL72LeeLW BH27HaytonC KY56YamamotoRW

3rd line

9:13 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
72	Anders Lee LW	12:05	2	3	5
27	Barrett Hayton C	14:30	1	6	7
56	Kailer Yamamoto RW	13:44	2	4	6

18 points this season

DB50ButLW KS82StenlundC JM22McBainRW

4th line

7:41 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
50	Daniil But LW	9:34	2	2	4
82	Kevin Stenlund C	13:16	1	4	5
22	Jack McBain RW	12:16	1	2	3

12 points this season

98SergachevD MW52WeegarD

1st pair

15:16 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
98	Mikhail Sergachev D	26:58	0	0	0
52	MacKenzie Weegar D	22:36	2	1	3

3 points this season

AP20PeekeD NS88SchmidtD

2nd pair

10:56 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
20	Andrew Peeke D	20:42	1	2	3
88	Nate Schmidt D	20:13	1	2	3

6 points this season

DS26SimashevD

57DeSimoneD

3rd pair

5:48 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
26	Dmitri Simashev D	14:26	0	2	2
57	Nick DeSimone D	11:19	0	0	0

2 points this season

DG11GuentherF CK9KellerF NS8SchmaltzF

LC92CooleyF

98SergachevD

Power play unit 1

4:01 together on the power play

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
11	Dylan Guenther F	20:10	4	5	9
9	Clayton Keller F	20:09	4	7	11
8	Nick Schmaltz F	17:49	7	6	13
92	Logan Cooley F	17:25	3	5	8
98	Mikhail Sergachev D	26:58	0	0	0

41 points this season

VT16TrocheckF BH27HaytonF KY56YamamotoF

AL72LeeF MW52WeegarD

Power play unit 2

0:31 together on the power play

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
16	Vincent Trocheck F	17:39	3	2	5
27	Barrett Hayton F	14:30	1	6	7
56	Kailer Yamamoto F	13:44	2	4	6
72	Anders Lee F	12:05	2	3	5
52	MacKenzie Weegar D	22:36	2	1	3

26 points this season

KS82StenlundF LC67CrouseF

AP20PeekeD NS88SchmidtD

Penalty kill unit 1

1:09 together on the penalty kill

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
82	Kevin Stenlund F	13:16	1	4	5
67	Lawson Crouse F	12:52	1	3	4
20	Andrew Peeke D	20:42	1	2	3
88	Nate Schmidt D	20:13	1	2	3

15 points this season

VT16TrocheckF BH27HaytonF

98SergachevD MW52WeegarD

Penalty kill unit 2

0:45 together on the penalty kill

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
16	Vincent Trocheck F	17:39	3	2	5
27	Barrett Hayton F	14:30	1	6	7
98	Mikhail Sergachev D	26:58	0	0	0
52	MacKenzie Weegar D	22:36	2	1	3

15 points this season

Goalies: Karel Vejmelka #70 (Projected) · Sebastian Cossa #33 (Backup)

Minnesota Wild

Last game: Oct 22

JW30WallstedtProjected

MB12BoldyLW JE14EkC KK97KaprizovRW

1st line

11:44 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
12	Matt Boldy LW	25:05	5	4	9
14	Joel Eriksson Ek C	23:14	2	4	6
97	Kirill Kaprizov RW	24:54	11	6	17

32 points this season

BC20ColemanLW RH38HartmanC BB10BrinkRW

2nd line

8:02 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
20	Blake Coleman LW	14:23	2	1	3
38	Ryan Hartman C	13:15	1	0	1
10	Bobby Brink RW	13:57	0	3	3

7 points this season

RL61LorenzLW YT13TreninC DY22YurovRW

3rd line

6:55 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
61	Rieger Lorenz LW	8:40	0	0	0
13	Yakov Trenin C	10:49	0	2	2
22	Danila Yurov RW	19:27	4	0	4

6 points this season

NS78SturmLW MM47McCarronC

19PitlickRW

4th line

5:35 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
78	Nico Sturm LW	9:52	0	1	1
47	Michael McCarron C	11:28	1	4	5
19	Tyler Pitlick RW	6:44	0	0	0

6 points this season

QH43HughesD JB25BrodinD

1st pair

12:43 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
43	Quinn Hughes D	31:04	2	10	12
25	Jonas Brodin D	19:06	0	3	3

15 points this season

JS46SpurgeonD DH48HuntD

2nd pair

7:32 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
46	Jared Spurgeon D	19:19	1	4	5
48	Daemon Hunt D	16:09	0	0	0

5 points this season

ZB24BogosianD OM3MäättäD

3rd pair

7:44 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
24	Zach Bogosian D	14:18	0	0	0
3	Olli Määttä D	14:16	0	2	2

2 points this season

MB12BoldyF KK97KaprizovF JE14EkF

DY22YurovF QH43HughesD

Power play unit 1

5:19 together on the power play

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
12	Matt Boldy F	25:05	5	4	9
97	Kirill Kaprizov F	24:54	11	6	17
14	Joel Eriksson Ek F	23:14	2	4	6
22	Danila Yurov F	19:27	4	0	4
43	Quinn Hughes D	31:04	2	10	12

48 points this season

BC20ColemanF BB10BrinkF RH38HartmanF

JS46SpurgeonD DH48HuntD

Power play unit 2

1:26 together on the power play

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
20	Blake Coleman F	14:23	2	1	3
10	Bobby Brink F	13:57	0	3	3
38	Ryan Hartman F	13:15	1	0	1
46	Jared Spurgeon D	19:19	1	4	5
48	Daemon Hunt D	16:09	0	0	0

12 points this season

DY22YurovF YT13TreninF

ZB24BogosianD OM3MäättäD

Penalty kill unit 1

1:18 together on the penalty kill

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
22	Danila Yurov F	19:27	4	0	4
13	Yakov Trenin F	10:49	0	2	2
24	Zach Bogosian D	14:18	0	0	0
3	Olli Määttä D	14:16	0	2	2

8 points this season

MM47McCarronF NS78SturmF

JS46SpurgeonD JB25BrodinD

Penalty kill unit 2

1:15 together on the penalty kill

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
47	Michael McCarron F	11:28	1	4	5
78	Nico Sturm F	9:52	0	1	1
46	Jared Spurgeon D	19:19	1	4	5
25	Jonas Brodin D	19:06	0	3	3

14 points this season

Goalies: Jesper Wallstedt #30 (Projected) · Calvin Pickard #31 (Backup)

Swipe the rink to switch units

How we read the lines

From the NHL’s shift charts, the three forwards and the two defencemen who shared the most 5-on-5 ice time, ranked by time on ice. Coaches shuffle lines often, so treat them as a guide until puck drop. Power-play and penalty-kill units: the five (on the power play) or four (on the penalty kill) skaters who were on the ice together the longest in that situation. TOI: ice time in that game. G, A, P: goals, assists and points this season.

Photo credits (6)

Mikhail Sergachev · Michael Miller, CC BY-SA 4.0
Nick DeSimone · Jenn G from Seattle, WA, CC BY-SA 2.0
Karel Vejmelka · Quintin Soloviev, CC BY-SA 4.0
Sebastian Cossa · Kaiser matias, CC BY-SA 4.0
Tyler Pitlick · Connor Mah, CC BY-SA 3.0
Calvin Pickard · ArtBrom, CC BY-SA 2.0

Goalie duel

Projected

Projected from recent starts · confirmed at puck drop

Karel Vejmelka UTA

.874 save percentage

3.04 GAA · 5–3–0 · 1 shutout · 8 starts

Jesper Wallstedt MIN

.915 save percentage

2.19 GAA · 6–2–2 · 10 starts

Teams do not name their goalie before the game. We expect the No. 1 unless his team played the night before, when the back-up usually starts; last season that call was right about two times in three. Our win chances do not depend on it.

Photo credits (1)

Karel Vejmelka · Quintin Soloviev, CC BY-SA 4.0

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

Kirill KaprizovMIN · LW · 11 G in 11 GP · 11 GP11843%2.31
Nick SchmaltzUTA · C · 7 G in 11 GP · 11 GP7529%3.46
Matt BoldyMIN · LW · 5 G in 11 GP · 11 GP5626%3.81
Danila YurovMIN · RW · 4 G in 9 GP · 9 GP4224%4.14
Clayton KellerUTA · RW · 4 G in 11 GP · 11 GP4522%4.58
Logan CooleyUTA · C · 3 G in 10 GP · 10 GP3521%4.85
Dylan GuentherUTA · RW · 4 G in 11 GP · 11 GP4319%5.30
Vincent TrocheckUTA · C · 3 G in 11 GP · 11 GP3318%5.56
Joel Eriksson EkMIN · C · 2 G in 10 GP · 10 GP2315%6.46
Maxim ShabanovMIN · RW · 2 G in 10 GP · 10 GP2114%7.09

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

All NHL goal scorer picks today

Who will win Utah Mammoth vs Minnesota Wild?

The numbers side with Utah Mammoth (54%) at home against Minnesota Wild, with 3–2 the most likely final score.

Utah Mammoth have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 3.8 and allowing 4.2 goals a game over that stretch. Minnesota Wild have won 2 of their last 5, scoring 2.6 and allowing 3.2 goals a game over that stretch.

Utah Mammoth sit 4th in the Western Conference, while Minnesota Wild sit 5th in the Western Conference.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Utah Mammoth rate +0.20 and Minnesota Wild +0.20 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.00 goals to Utah Mammoth. Home ice is worth about 0.25 goals a game in this league.

In regulation the model gives Utah Mammoth 44% to win inside 60 minutes and puts the chance of a tie after three periods at 20%; a tie goes to overtime and, if needed, a shootout.

Our own lines for this game: Utah Mammoth −1.5 on the puck line (29%) and 5.5 total goals, with the over at 55% (6.2 projected).

Utah Mammoth to win, overtime and shootout included (54%). Projected score: 3–2. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.

Team leaders

Utah MammothThis seasonMinnesota Wild

Points
M. Sergachyov10 games13 Kirill Kaprizov9 games17
Goals
Nick Schmaltz8 games7 Kirill Kaprizov9 games11
Assists
M. Sergachyov10 games10 Quinn Hughes9 games10
Penalty minutes
Jack McBain9 games21 Blake Coleman6 games12

Season totals in this competition from the scoresheets so far (11 games per team); current squads only.

Recent form

Utah Mammoth

L3–5 W5–4 L2–6 W4–2 W5–4

Minnesota Wild

L1–2 OTL3–4 W2–1 W5–4 L2–5

W win · OTL loss in overtime or a shootout · L loss in regulation

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Also scheduled

Utah Mammoth vs Minnesota Wild prediction

Our pick

Game flow

Markets

Lines

Goalie duel

Who scores

Who will win Utah Mammoth vs Minnesota Wild?

Team leaders

Recent form

Head to head

Also scheduled

Wednesday, November 25

Monday, January 25

Sunday, March 21

Other games that day