HOCKEYORA
NHL

Anaheim Ducks vs Vancouver Canucks prediction

58%win chance incl. overtime42%

Our pick

58%ANA

Anaheim Ducks to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.72 · projected 3–2

Anaheim Ducks are the pick at home against Vancouver Canucks: a 58% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 3–2 score.

After 60 minutes

ANA
48%
Tied → OT
19%
VAN
32%

Game flow

ANA 3.5 · VAN 2.9 expected goals in 60 minutes

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds
  • Moneyline (incl. overtime)Anaheim Ducks58%1.72
  • Regulation result (60 minutes)Anaheim Ducks48%2.07
  • Puck lineVancouver Canucks +1.567%1.50
  • Total goalsOver 6.551%1.94
  • Both teams to scoreYes92%1.09

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Lines

Lines from the last game · may change

Anaheim Ducks

Last game: Oct 22

1st line

8:46 together at 5-on-5

#PlayerTOIGAP
17Alex Killorn LW15:23134
91Leo Carlsson C19:132810
45Beckett Sennecke RW20:14538

22 points this season

Goalies: Lukas Dostal #1 (Projected) · Ville Husso #33 (Backup)

Vancouver Canucks

Last game: Oct 22

1st line

9:28 together at 5-on-5

#PlayerTOIGAP
74Jake DeBrusk LW17:52347
77Filip Chytil C20:32022
88Jonathan Lekkerimäki RW17:44459

18 points this season

Goalies: Kevin Lankinen #32 (Projected) · Leevi Meriläinen #31 (Backup)

Swipe the rink to switch units

How we read the lines

From the NHL’s shift charts, the three forwards and the two defencemen who shared the most 5-on-5 ice time, ranked by time on ice. Coaches shuffle lines often, so treat them as a guide until puck drop. Power-play and penalty-kill units: the five (on the power play) or four (on the penalty kill) skaters who were on the ice together the longest in that situation. TOI: ice time in that game. G, A, P: goals, assists and points this season.

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Goalie duel

Projected

Projected from recent starts · confirmed at puck drop

Lukas Dostal ANA

.881 save percentage

3.16 GAA · 3–4–0 · 7 starts

Kevin Lankinen VAN

.812 save percentage

6.17 GAA · 1–7–0 · 7 starts

Teams do not name their goalie before the game. We expect the No. 1 unless his team played the night before, when the back-up usually starts; last season that call was right about two times in three. Our win chances do not depend on it.

Photo credits (2)

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included
PlayerChanceFair odds

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Photo credits (4)
All NHL goal scorer picks today

Who will win Anaheim Ducks vs Vancouver Canucks?

Anaheim Ducks are the pick at home against Vancouver Canucks: a 58% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 3–2 score.

Anaheim Ducks have won 0 of their last 5, scoring 1.8 and allowing 4.0 goals a game over that stretch. Vancouver Canucks have won 0 of their last 5, scoring 2.2 and allowing 4.2 goals a game over that stretch.

Anaheim Ducks sit 12th in the Western Conference, while Vancouver Canucks sit 16th in the Western Conference.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Anaheim Ducks rate −0.28 and Vancouver Canucks −0.57 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.29 goals to Anaheim Ducks. Home ice is worth about 0.25 goals a game in this league.

About 19% of games like this one are level after 60 minutes, which is why Anaheim Ducks win it in regulation only 48% of the time on our numbers; overtime and the shootout make up the rest of the 58%.

Our own lines for this game: Anaheim Ducks −1.5 on the puck line (33%) and 6.5 total goals, with the over at 51% (6.6 projected).

Anaheim Ducks to win, overtime and shootout included (58%). Projected score: 3–2.

Team leaders

Anaheim DucksThis seasonVancouver Canucks

Season totals in this competition from the scoresheets so far (10 games per team); current squads only.

Photo credits (3)

Recent form

W win · OTL loss in overtime or a shootout · L loss in regulation

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Also scheduled

Other games that day