Czech Extraliga

Kladno vs Sparta Praha prediction

Kladno6–4–2 · Home Sparta Praha5–5–2 · Away06:00 PMOct 27

49%win chance incl. overtime51%

Our pick

51%SPA51%SPA

Sparta Praha to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.97 · projected 2–3

The numbers side with Sparta Praha (51%) on the road against Kladno, with 3–2 the most likely final score.

After 60 minutes

KLAKladno in 60'

39%

Tied → OTTied → OT

21%

SPASparta Praha in 60'

40%

Game flow

KLA 2.6 · SPA 2.7 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 0.9–0.7

P2 · 0.7–0.9

P3 · 0.9–1.1

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Sparta Praha51%1.97
Regulation result (60 minutes)Sparta Praha40%2.48
Puck lineKladno +1.575%1.33
Total goalsUnder 5.557%1.75
Both teams to scoreYes87%1.16

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Sparta Praha

51%fair 1.97

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Sparta Praha

40%fair 2.48

Puck line

Kladno +1.5

75%fair 1.33

Total goals

Under 5.5

57%fair 1.75

Both teams to score

Yes

87%fair 1.16

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

N. OjamakiKLA · 7 G in 13 GP · 13 GP7529%3.45
M. SpacekSPA · 6 G in 13 GP · 13 GP6426%3.84
D. ShoreSPA · 5 G in 12 GP · 12 GP5125%4.04
P. PietroniroKLA · 5 G in 13 GP · 13 GP5322%4.48
J. KonecnyKLA · 5 G in 13 GP · 13 GP5422%4.56
J. SekacSPA · 4 G in 13 GP · 13 GP4119%5.28
P. KousalSPA · 3 G in 11 GP · 11 GP3318%5.49
R. KnotSPA · 3 G in 13 GP · 13 GP3216%6.27
D. AudetteKLA · 3 G in 13 GP · 13 GP3416%6.40
K. KlimaKLA · 3 G in 13 GP · 13 GP3114%6.94

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Who will win Kladno vs Sparta Praha?

The numbers side with Sparta Praha (51%) on the road against Kladno, with 3–2 the most likely final score.

Kladno have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 2.6 and allowing 2.6 goals a game over that stretch. Sparta Praha have won 2 of their last 5, scoring 2.0 and allowing 1.8 goals a game over that stretch.

Kladno sit 7th, while Sparta Praha sit 8th.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Kladno rate −0.09 and Sparta Praha +0.11 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.20 goals to Sparta Praha. Home ice is worth about 0.15 goals a game in this league.

In regulation the model gives Sparta Praha 40% to win inside 60 minutes and puts the chance of a tie after three periods at 21%; a tie goes to overtime and, if needed, a shootout.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Kladno 1, Sparta Praha 0); the latest finished Kladno 3–2 Sparta Praha on 2026-09-18.

Our own lines for this game: Sparta Praha −1.5 on the puck line (25%) and 5.5 total goals, with the under at 57% (5.5 projected).

Sparta Praha to win, overtime and shootout included (51%). Projected score: 3–2. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.