AHL

Henderson Silver Knights vs Tucson Roadrunners prediction

Henderson Silver Knights4–2–0 · Home Tucson Roadrunners3–2–2 · Away10:00 PMOct 24

47%win chance incl. overtime53%

Our pick

53%TUC53%TUC

Tucson Roadrunners to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.89 · projected 2–3

Our model makes Tucson Roadrunners 53% favourites on the road against Henderson Silver Knights, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 3–2 final.

After 60 minutes

HENHenderson Silver Knights in 60'

37%

Tied → OTTied → OT

21%

TUCTucson Roadrunners in 60'

42%

Game flow

HEN 2.6 · TUC 2.7 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 0.6–0.7

P2 · 1.2–0.8

P3 · 0.8–1.2

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Tucson Roadrunners53%1.89
Regulation result (60 minutes)Tucson Roadrunners42%2.36
Puck lineHenderson Silver Knights +1.573%1.36
Total goalsUnder 5.556%1.79
Both teams to scoreYes87%1.15

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Tucson Roadrunners

53%fair 1.89

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Tucson Roadrunners

42%fair 2.36

Puck line

Henderson Silver Knights +1.5

73%fair 1.36

Total goals

Under 5.5

56%fair 1.79

Both teams to score

Yes

87%fair 1.15

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who will win Henderson Silver Knights vs Tucson Roadrunners?

Our model makes Tucson Roadrunners 53% favourites on the road against Henderson Silver Knights, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 3–2 final.

Henderson Silver Knights have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 2.4 and allowing 1.6 goals a game over that stretch. Tucson Roadrunners have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 3.4 and allowing 2.0 goals a game over that stretch.

Henderson Silver Knights sit 5th in the Pacific Division, while Tucson Roadrunners sit 6th in the Pacific Division.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Henderson Silver Knights rate +0.15 and Tucson Roadrunners +0.19 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.04 goals to Tucson Roadrunners. Home ice is worth about -0.12 goals a game in this league.

In regulation the model gives Tucson Roadrunners 42% to win inside 60 minutes and puts the chance of a tie after three periods at 21%; a tie goes to overtime and, if needed, a shootout.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Henderson Silver Knights 1, Tucson Roadrunners 0); the latest finished Henderson Silver Knights 2–1 Tucson Roadrunners on 2026-10-24.

Our own lines for this game: Tucson Roadrunners −1.5 on the puck line (27%) and 5.5 total goals, with the under at 56% (5.5 projected).

Tucson Roadrunners to win, overtime and shootout included (53%). Projected score: 3–2. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.