Oberliga Süd

EV Füssen vs Tölzer Löwen prediction

EV Füssen5–7–0 · Home Tölzer Löwen10–2–0 · Away07:30 PMOct 30

36%win chance incl. overtime64%

Our pick

64%TÖL64%TÖL

Tölzer Löwen to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.57 · projected 2–3

Our model makes Tölzer Löwen 64% favourites on the road against EV Füssen, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 3–2 final.

After 60 minutes

FÜSEV Füssen in 60'

28%

Tied → OTTied → OT

17%

TÖLTölzer Löwen in 60'

54%

Game flow

FÜS 2.7 · TÖL 3.5 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 0.7–1.0

P2 · 0.9–1.2

P3 · 1.0–1.3

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Tölzer Löwen64%1.57
Regulation result (60 minutes)Tölzer Löwen54%1.84
Puck lineEV Füssen +1.561%1.63
Total goalsUnder 6.552%1.91
Both teams to scoreYes91%1.10

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Tölzer Löwen

64%fair 1.57

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Tölzer Löwen

54%fair 1.84

Puck line

EV Füssen +1.5

61%fair 1.63

Total goals

Under 6.5

52%fair 1.91

Both teams to score

Yes

91%fair 1.10

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who will win EV Füssen vs Tölzer Löwen?

Our model makes Tölzer Löwen 64% favourites on the road against EV Füssen, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 3–2 final.

EV Füssen have won 2 of their last 5, scoring 2.2 and allowing 2.6 goals a game over that stretch. Tölzer Löwen have won 5 of their last 5, scoring 5.6 and allowing 2.0 goals a game over that stretch.

EV Füssen sit 8th, while Tölzer Löwen sit 2nd.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, EV Füssen rate −0.26 and Tölzer Löwen +0.71 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.97 goals to Tölzer Löwen. Home ice is worth about 0.10 goals a game in this league.

In regulation the model gives Tölzer Löwen 54% to win inside 60 minutes and puts the chance of a tie after three periods at 17%; a tie goes to overtime and, if needed, a shootout.

These teams have met 1 time recently (EV Füssen 0, Tölzer Löwen 1); the latest finished Tölzer Löwen 2–1 EV Füssen on 2026-10-04.

Our own lines for this game: Tölzer Löwen −1.5 on the puck line (39%) and 6.5 total goals, with the under at 52% (6.4 projected).

Tölzer Löwen to win, overtime and shootout included (64%). Projected score: 3–2.