Oberliga Nord

Tilburg Trappers vs Herford prediction

Tilburg Trappers10–0–1 · Home Herford5–4–2 · Away08:15 PMOct 30

74%win chance incl. overtime26%

Our pick

74%TIL74%TIL

Tilburg Trappers to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.36 · projected 4–3

Our model makes Tilburg Trappers 74% favourites at home against Herford, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 4–3 final.

After 60 minutes

TILTilburg Trappers in 60'

66%

Tied → OTTied → OT

14%

HERHerford in 60'

20%

Game flow

TIL 4.5 · HER 2.8 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 1.5–0.7

P2 · 1.7–1.0

P3 · 1.3–1.0

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Tilburg Trappers74%1.36
Regulation result (60 minutes)Tilburg Trappers66%1.51
Puck lineTilburg Trappers −1.552%1.94
Total goalsUnder 7.555%1.81
Both teams to scoreYes93%1.08

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Tilburg Trappers

74%fair 1.36

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Tilburg Trappers

66%fair 1.51

Puck line

Tilburg Trappers −1.5

52%fair 1.94

Total goals

Under 7.5

55%fair 1.81

Both teams to score

Yes

93%fair 1.08

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who will win Tilburg Trappers vs Herford?

Our model makes Tilburg Trappers 74% favourites at home against Herford, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 4–3 final.

Tilburg Trappers have won 4 of their last 5, scoring 4.8 and allowing 2.0 goals a game over that stretch. Herford have won 2 of their last 5, scoring 3.4 and allowing 4.0 goals a game over that stretch.

Tilburg Trappers sit 1st, while Herford sit 7th.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Tilburg Trappers rate +1.15 and Herford −0.08 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 1.23 goals to Tilburg Trappers. Home ice is worth about 0.47 goals a game in this league.

In regulation the model gives Tilburg Trappers 66% to win inside 60 minutes and puts the chance of a tie after three periods at 14%; a tie goes to overtime and, if needed, a shootout.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Tilburg Trappers 0, Herford 1); the latest finished Herford 3–2 Tilburg Trappers on 2026-10-11.

Our own lines for this game: Tilburg Trappers −1.5 on the puck line (52%) and 7.5 total goals, with the under at 55% (7.4 projected).

Tilburg Trappers to win, overtime and shootout included (74%). Projected score: 4–3.