AHL

Providence Bruins vs Utica Comets prediction

Providence Bruins2–6–0 · Home Utica Comets4–1–0 · Away07:05 PMOct 24

48%win chance incl. overtime52%

Our pick

52%UTI52%UTI

Utica Comets to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.91 · projected 2–3

Our model makes Utica Comets 52% favourites on the road against Providence Bruins, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 3–2 final.

After 60 minutes

PROProvidence Bruins in 60'

37%

Tied → OTTied → OT

22%

UTIUtica Comets in 60'

41%

Game flow

PRO 2.6 · UTI 2.9 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 0.4–0.7

P2 · 0.9–1.5

P3 · 1.2–0.8

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Utica Comets52%1.91
Regulation result (60 minutes)Utica Comets41%2.43
Puck lineProvidence Bruins +1.570%1.43
Total goalsUnder 5.556%1.79
Both teams to scoreYes85%1.17

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Utica Comets

52%fair 1.91

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Utica Comets

41%fair 2.43

Puck line

Providence Bruins +1.5

70%fair 1.43

Total goals

Under 5.5

56%fair 1.79

Both teams to score

Yes

85%fair 1.17

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

M. EyssimontPRO · 7 G in 5 GP · 5 GP7838%2.61
B. GauncePRO · 3 G in 8 GP · 8 GP3320%4.89
H. JokiharjuPRO · 2 G in 5 GP · 5 GP2417%5.85
B. HalonenPRO · 1 G in 5 GP · 5 GP1412%8.21
L. ReichelPRO · 1 G in 5 GP · 5 GP1311%8.73

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Who will win Providence Bruins vs Utica Comets?

Our model makes Utica Comets 52% favourites on the road against Providence Bruins, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 3–2 final.

Providence Bruins have won 2 of their last 5, scoring 3.4 and allowing 3.2 goals a game over that stretch. Utica Comets have won 4 of their last 5, scoring 2.6 and allowing 2.2 goals a game over that stretch.

Providence Bruins sit 7th in the Atlantic Division, while Utica Comets sit 6th in the North Division.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Providence Bruins rate −0.13 and Utica Comets +0.10 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.24 goals to Utica Comets. Home ice is worth about -0.12 goals a game in this league.

In regulation the model gives Utica Comets 41% to win inside 60 minutes and puts the chance of a tie after three periods at 22%; a tie goes to overtime and, if needed, a shootout.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Providence Bruins 0, Utica Comets 1); the latest finished Providence Bruins 1–2 Utica Comets on 2026-10-02.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Utica Comets at 51% on the moneyline across 7 bookmakers.

Against the market lines, Utica Comets −1.5 on the puck line comes in 30% of the time on our numbers, and the under 5.5 goals lands 56% against a projected 5.7 goals.

Utica Comets to win, overtime and shootout included (52%). Projected score: 3–2. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.