Boston Bruins vs Chicago Blackhawks prediction
Our pick
Boston Bruins to win
incl. overtime · fair odds 1.40 · projected 3–2
Our model makes Boston Bruins 72% favourites at home against Chicago Blackhawks, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 3–2 final.
After 60 minutes
Game flow
BOS 3.6 · CHI 2.2 expected goals in 60 minutes
Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).
Markets
- Moneyline (incl. overtime)Boston Bruins72%1.40
- Regulation result (60 minutes)Boston Bruins62%1.62
- Puck lineChicago Blackhawks +1.554%1.85
- Total goalsOver 5.553%1.88
- Both teams to scoreYes87%1.14
Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.
Lines
Lines from the last game · may change
Boston Bruins
Last game: Oct 22
1st line
13:02 together at 5-on-5
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | David Pastrňák LW | 16:37 | 6 | 10 | 16 |
| 18 | Pavel Zacha C | 16:11 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | JJ Peterka RW | 17:52 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
29 points this season
2nd line
11:38 together at 5-on-5
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | Morgan Geekie LW | 14:34 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| 93 | Fraser Minten C | 15:28 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| 92 | Marat Khusnutdinov RW | 14:22 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
19 points this season
3rd line
10:00 together at 5-on-5
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Casey Mittelstadt LW | 15:03 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 44 | James Hagens C | 15:04 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 28 | Elias Lindholm RW | 13:43 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
20 points this season
4th line
9:20 together at 5-on-5
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84 | Tanner Jeannot LW | 13:51 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 47 | Mark Kastelic C | 14:14 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 51 | Matthew Poitras RW | 13:34 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
16 points this season
1st pair
17:29 together at 5-on-5
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91 | Nikita Zadorov D | 19:48 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| 17 | Will Borgen D | 19:45 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
7 points this season
2nd pair
15:54 together at 5-on-5
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hampus Lindholm D | 20:21 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 73 | Charlie McAvoy D | 19:01 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
10 points this season
3rd pair
15:38 together at 5-on-5
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mason Lohrei D | 20:14 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 42 | Frederic Brunet D | 18:18 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
8 points this season
Power play unit 1
1:35 together on the power play
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | JJ Peterka F | 17:52 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 93 | Fraser Minten F | 15:28 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| 44 | James Hagens F | 15:04 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 11 | Casey Mittelstadt F | 15:03 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 42 | Frederic Brunet D | 18:18 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
30 points this season
Power play unit 2
1:20 together on the power play
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | David Pastrňák F | 16:37 | 6 | 10 | 16 |
| 18 | Pavel Zacha F | 16:11 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 39 | Morgan Geekie F | 14:34 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| 28 | Elias Lindholm F | 13:43 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| 73 | Charlie McAvoy D | 19:01 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
42 points this season
Penalty kill unit 1
1:00 together on the penalty kill
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92 | Marat Khusnutdinov F | 14:22 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 47 | Mark Kastelic F | 14:14 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 27 | Hampus Lindholm D | 20:21 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Mason Lohrei D | 20:14 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
20 points this season
Goalies: Jeremy Swayman #1 (Projected) · Michael Dipietro #30 (Backup)
Chicago Blackhawks
Last game: Oct 23
1st line
7:30 together at 5-on-5
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | Roman Kantserov LW | 16:52 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 98 | Connor Bedard C | 16:28 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 88 | Patrick Kane RW | 17:17 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
13 points this season
2nd line
3:49 together at 5-on-5
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | Tyler Bertuzzi LW | 14:35 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 16 | Anton Frondell C | 12:56 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| 86 | Teuvo Teräväinen RW | 12:44 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
16 points this season
4th line
7:15 together at 5-on-5
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Jordan Greenway LW | 11:06 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 20 | Ryan Greene C | 9:49 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| 22 | Cole Smith RW | 10:18 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
5 points this season
2nd pair
10:59 together at 5-on-5
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | Wyatt Kaiser D | 15:13 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 55 | Artyom Levshunov D | 14:57 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
6 points this season
Power play unit 1
4:40 together on the power play
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | Patrick Kane F | 17:17 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| 80 | Roman Kantserov F | 16:52 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 98 | Connor Bedard F | 16:28 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 59 | Tyler Bertuzzi F | 14:35 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 86 | Teuvo Teräväinen F | 12:44 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
23 points this season
Power play unit 2
2:30 together on the power play
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91 | Frank Nazar F | 15:54 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 16 | Anton Frondell F | 12:56 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| 8 | Ryan Donato F | 12:07 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Oliver Moore F | 10:27 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Sam Rinzel D | 14:24 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
18 points this season
Penalty kill unit 1
0:57 together on the penalty kill
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91 | Frank Nazar F | 15:54 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 12 | Jordan Greenway F | 11:06 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 72 | Alex Vlasic D | 17:59 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| 28 | Ian Cole D | 17:03 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7 points this season
Goalies: Spencer Knight #30 (Projected) · Arvid Söderblom #40 (Backup)
Swipe the rink to switch units
How we read the lines
From the NHL’s shift charts, the three forwards and the two defencemen who shared the most 5-on-5 ice time, ranked by time on ice. Coaches shuffle lines often, so treat them as a guide until puck drop. Power-play and penalty-kill units: the five (on the power play) or four (on the penalty kill) skaters who were on the ice together the longest in that situation. TOI: ice time in that game. G, A, P: goals, assists and points this season.
Photo credits (33)
- David Pastrňák · Bostonbruinsfan22, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Pavel Zacha · Lisa Gansky from New York, NY, USA, CC BY-SA 2.0
- JJ Peterka · Sandro Halank , Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Morgan Geekie · TheAHL, CC BY 2.0
- Fraser Minten · Bardonvtn, CC BY 4.0
- Casey Mittelstadt · CloutsnChara Sports Cards, CC BY 3.0
- James Hagens · Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Elias Lindholm · Benjamin Reed, CC BY-SA 2.0
- Tanner Jeannot · Jenn G, CC BY-SA 2.0
- Matthew Poitras · Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Nikita Zadorov · m_kania, CC BY 2.0
- Will Borgen · Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Hampus Lindholm · mark6mauno, CC BY-SA 2.0
- Charlie McAvoy · CloutsnChara Sports Cards, CC BY 3.0
- Mason Lohrei · Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Michael Dipietro · Jfvoll, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Jeremy Swayman · Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Connor Bedard · Jenn G from Seattle, WA, CC BY-SA 2.0
- Patrick Kane · Lisa Gansky from New York, NY, USA, CC BY-SA 2.0
- Tyler Bertuzzi · TheAHL, CC BY 2.0
- Teuvo Teräväinen · Jenn G from Seattle, WA, CC BY-SA 2.0
- Ryan Donato · Jenn G, CC BY-SA 2.0
- Frank Nazar · Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Oliver Moore · Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Jordan Greenway · Surveytrevor, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Alex Vlasic · Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Ian Cole · Michael Miller, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Wyatt Kaiser · Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Artyom Levshunov · Trevor Cokley (U.S. Air Force Academy), Public domain
- Sam Rinzel · SecretName101, CC BY 4.0
- Ethan Del Mastro · TheAHL, CC BY 2.0
- Spencer Knight · Jenn G, CC BY-SA 2.0
- Arvid Söderblom · Jenn G, CC BY-SA 2.0
Goalie duel
Projected
Goalie duelProjected from recent starts · confirmed at puck drop
Teams do not name their goalie before the game. We expect the No. 1 unless his team played the night before, when the back-up usually starts; last season that call was right about two times in three. Our win chances do not depend on it.
Photo credits (2)
- Jeremy Swayman · Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Spencer Knight · Jenn G, CC BY-SA 2.0
Who scores
Anytime goal, overtime included
David PastrňákBOS · RW · 6 G in 10 GP · 10 GP6933%2.99
Matthew PoitrasBOS · C · 4 G in 8 GP · 8 GP4526%3.82
Elias LindholmBOS · C · 4 G in 11 GP · 11 GP4424%4.11
JJ PeterkaBOS · RW · 4 G in 11 GP · 11 GP4323%4.32
Fraser MintenBOS · C · 4 G in 11 GP · 11 GP4323%4.42- Roman KantserovCHI · RW · 3 G in 7 GP · 7 GP3319%5.30
Frank NazarCHI · C · 3 G in 9 GP · 9 GP3117%5.72
Teuvo TeräväinenCHI · C · 2 G in 8 GP · 8 GP2314%7.09
Ryan DonatoCHI · C · 2 G in 9 GP · 9 GP2214%7.35
Tyler BertuzziCHI · LW · 2 G in 8 GP · 8 GP2313%7.46
The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.
Photo credits (9)
- David Pastrňák · Bostonbruinsfan22, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Matthew Poitras · Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Elias Lindholm · Benjamin Reed, CC BY-SA 2.0
- JJ Peterka · Sandro Halank , Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Fraser Minten · Bardonvtn, CC BY 4.0
- Frank Nazar · Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Teuvo Teräväinen · Jenn G from Seattle, WA, CC BY-SA 2.0
- Ryan Donato · Jenn G, CC BY-SA 2.0
- Tyler Bertuzzi · TheAHL, CC BY 2.0
Who will win Boston Bruins vs Chicago Blackhawks?
Our model makes Boston Bruins 72% favourites at home against Chicago Blackhawks, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 3–2 final.
Boston Bruins have won 4 of their last 5, scoring 4.4 and allowing 1.8 goals a game over that stretch. Chicago Blackhawks have won 2 of their last 5, scoring 2.4 and allowing 3.8 goals a game over that stretch.
Boston Bruins sit 2nd in the Eastern Conference, while Chicago Blackhawks sit 15th in the Western Conference.
Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Boston Bruins rate +0.61 and Chicago Blackhawks −0.55 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 1.16 goals to Boston Bruins. Home ice is worth about 0.25 goals a game in this league.
In regulation the model gives Boston Bruins 62% to win inside 60 minutes and puts the chance of a tie after three periods at 18%; a tie goes to overtime and, if needed, a shootout.
Our own lines for this game: Boston Bruins −1.5 on the puck line (46%) and 5.5 total goals, with the over at 53% (6.1 projected).
Boston Bruins to win, overtime and shootout included (72%). Projected score: 3–2.
Team leaders
- Points
- Goals
- Assists
- Penalty minutes
Season totals in this competition from the scoresheets so far (10 games per team); current squads only.
Photo credits (3)
- David Pastrňák · Bostonbruinsfan22, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Nikita Zadorov · m_kania, CC BY 2.0
- Patrick Kane · Lisa Gansky from New York, NY, USA, CC BY-SA 2.0
Recent form
W win · OTL loss in overtime or a shootout · L loss in regulation
Head to head
No recent meetings on record.
Also scheduled
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