AHL

Syracuse Crunch vs Hamilton Hammers prediction

Syracuse Crunch3–4–1 · Home Hamilton HammersAway07:00 PMOct 30

49%win chance incl. overtime51%

Our pick

51%HAM51%HAM

Hamilton Hammers to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.95 · projected 2–3

The numbers side with Hamilton Hammers (51%) on the road against Syracuse Crunch, with 3–2 the most likely final score.

After 60 minutes

SYRSyracuse Crunch in 60'

39%

Tied → OTTied → OT

19%

HAMHamilton Hammers in 60'

42%

Game flow

SYR 3.0 · HAM 3.0 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 1.3–0.7

P2 · 0.7–1.3

P3 · 1.0–1.1

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Hamilton Hammers51%1.95
Regulation result (60 minutes)Hamilton Hammers42%2.41
Puck lineSyracuse Crunch +1.573%1.36
Total goalsUnder 6.555%1.81
Both teams to scoreYes91%1.10

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Hamilton Hammers

51%fair 1.95

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Hamilton Hammers

42%fair 2.41

Puck line

Syracuse Crunch +1.5

73%fair 1.36

Total goals

Under 6.5

55%fair 1.81

Both teams to score

Yes

91%fair 1.10

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

N. AbruzzeseSYR · 3 G in 8 GP · 8 GP3222%4.48
B. FurrySYR · 2 G in 6 GP · 6 GP2220%4.91
S. O'ReillySYR · 2 G in 8 GP · 8 GP2220%5.12
N. SteenSYR · 1 G in 5 GP · 5 GP1114%7.07
C. BishopSYR · 1 G in 7 GP · 7 GP1214%7.20

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Who will win Syracuse Crunch vs Hamilton Hammers?

The numbers side with Hamilton Hammers (51%) on the road against Syracuse Crunch, with 3–2 the most likely final score.

Syracuse Crunch have won 2 of their last 5, scoring 2.6 and allowing 3.2 goals a game over that stretch. Hamilton Hammers have won 0 of their last 5, scoring 1.8 and allowing 4.2 goals a game over that stretch.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Syracuse Crunch rate −0.31 and Hamilton Hammers −0.35 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.04 goals to Syracuse Crunch. Home ice is worth about -0.12 goals a game in this league.

In regulation the model gives Hamilton Hammers 42% to win inside 60 minutes and puts the chance of a tie after three periods at 19%; a tie goes to overtime and, if needed, a shootout.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Syracuse Crunch 1, Hamilton Hammers 0); the latest finished Hamilton Hammers 3–4 Syracuse Crunch on 2026-10-18.

Our own lines for this game: Hamilton Hammers −1.5 on the puck line (27%) and 6.5 total goals, with the under at 55% (6.2 projected).

Hamilton Hammers to win, overtime and shootout included (51%). Projected score: 3–2. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.